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League One · Full time ·Matchday 13

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town

1 – 4 Full time

14′Albie Morgan
17′Michael Smith
42′Dion Charles
45′Karoy Anderson
45′Liam ThompsonRhys Oates
45′Stephen McLaughlinJordan Bowery
52′Elliott Hewitt
55′Rhys Oates
60′George AbbottRegan·Hendry
64′Ilmari Niskanen
66′Dale TaylorJerry Yates
66′Dion CharlesTom Bloxham
74′Michael SmithTyler Roberts
75′Ilmari NiskanenFinley Munroe
78′Tyler Roberts
79′Albie MorganJordan Brown
82′Elliott HewittLuke Bolton

Bloomfield Road, Blackpool

Blackpool 35%
Draw 26%
Mansfield Town 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 6
53 Possession % 47
6 Corners 7
7 Fouls 8
4 Offsides 1
4 Saves 4
379 Accurate passes 327

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Blackpool vs Mansfield Town

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBlackpoolDrawMansfield Town
Model37.2%25.5%37.3%
Market34.7%26.6%38.7%
Final35.3%26.3%38.3%
Edge+0.6%-0.3%-0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Mansfield Town

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Blackpool ↓ / Mansfield Town → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Blackpool and Mansfield Town expected goals

Blackpool 1.60
Mansfield Town 1.60

Total expected goals: 3.20

Blackpool and Mansfield Town attack and defence ratings

Blackpool

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Mansfield Town

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town: result vs prediction

Blackpool 1 – 4 Mansfield Town

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mansfield Town 38.3% 2.61 -0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.1% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.8% 1.54 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.8% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Blackpool35.3%
Draw26.3%
Mansfield Town38.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%
Both teams to scoreYes64.8%
No35.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.7%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)64.7%
Handicap -1Mansfield Town win19.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss62.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
1-28.3%
2-18.3%

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town stats

Blackpool and Mansfield Town recent form

newest first
Blackpool WLLLDL
Mansfield Town WDWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Blackpool and Mansfield Town going into this match

league record before kick-off

Blackpool record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Mansfield Town record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Blackpool wins 2Draws 4Mansfield Town wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-17BlackpoolMansfield TownLeague One1-0
2025-08-19Mansfield TownBlackpoolLeague One2-0
2025-02-15BlackpoolMansfield TownLeague One3-3
2024-10-05Mansfield TownBlackpoolLeague One2-0
2017-12-06BlackpoolMansfield TownEFL Trophy1-1
2017-01-02BlackpoolMansfield TownLeague Two0-1
2016-11-22Mansfield TownBlackpoolLeague Two1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.9%, draw 26.6%, away 38.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.64 3.52 2.43
Bet365 2.75 3.40 2.40
BetVictor 2.63 3.60 2.45
Betano 2.70 3.50 2.42
Betfair 2.80 3.50 2.40
Dafabet 2.80 3.60 2.42
Marathonbet 2.64 3.52 2.43
Pinnacle 2.78 3.59 2.49
SBO 2.49 3.14 2.22
William Hill 2.62 3.40 2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▲ +0.28
X 3.52 ▼ -0.01
2 2.42 ▼ -0.20

9 snapshots recorded, from .