Blackpool
vs
Mansfield Town
Garuda Lions Prediction: Blackpool
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blackpool vs Mansfield Town
| Probability | Blackpool | Draw | Mansfield Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.4% | 24.7% | 35.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.4% | 24.7% | 35.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town match preview
Blackpool faces Mansfield Town in a League One clash on October 24, 2026. The model indicates a 40% probability of a Blackpool victory, while Mansfield Town has a 35% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 25%. The expected goals for Blackpool are 1.75 and for Mansfield Town, 1.62. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Blackpool, occurring at a 9% likelihood.
Both teams show mixed recent form, with Blackpool recording five losses in their last six matches, while Mansfield Town has drawn four of their last six. The model suggests a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance for both teams to score in the match. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blackpool and Mansfield Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.37
Blackpool and Mansfield Town attack and defence ratings
Blackpool
Mansfield Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Reading vs Barnsley — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient
- AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe — match page
- Oxford United vs Bradford — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday
- Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons — team news & stats
- Cambridge United vs Plymouth
- Notts County v Stockport County — match page
Before and after this match
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackpool | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackpool | 40.4% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Mansfield Town | 35.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% |
| No | 32.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Blackpool win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town stats
Blackpool and Mansfield Town recent form
| Blackpool |
LLLDLL |
| Mansfield Town |
DWDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Blackpool and Mansfield Town season so far
Blackpool record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Mansfield Town record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Blackpool vs Mansfield Town head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Blackpool | Mansfield Town | League One | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-19 | Mansfield Town | Blackpool | League One | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.