League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 14
Mansfield Town
vs
Notts County
0 – 2 Full time
| 25′ | Conor·GrantCallum Roberts | ||
| 29′ | Callum Roberts | ||
| 55′ | Rory Finneran | ||
| 56′ | Jordan Bowery | ||
| 56′ | Tyler RobertsRhys Oates | ||
| 65′ | D. Kanu | ||
| 71′ | Luka Smyth | ||
| 73′ | Nathan Daniel Moriah-WelshLuke Bolton | ||
| 73′ | Louis ReedGeorge Maris | ||
| 74′ | Nicholas TsaroullaDarius Lipsiuc | ||
| 74′ | Rory FinneranMax Sanders | ||
| 74′ | Luka Smythlee ndlovu | ||
| 81′ | D. KanuJames Gibbons | ||
| 82′ | Callum Roberts | ||
| 86′ | Ryan SweeneyFrazer Blake-Tracy | ||
| 86′ | Jonathan RussellElliott Hewitt |
Mansfield Town
52%
Draw
25%
Notts County
23%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 389 | Accurate passes | 256 |
Mansfield Town vs Notts County overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mansfield Town vs Notts County
| Probability | Mansfield Town | Draw | Notts County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.3% | 25.3% | 19.5% |
| Market | 50.9% | 25.4% | 23.7% |
| Final | 52.0% | 25.4% | 22.6% |
| Edge | +1.1% | -0.0% | -1.1% |
Why Mansfield Town
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Mansfield Town and Notts County expected goals
Mansfield Town
1.80
Notts County
0.99
Total expected goals: 2.78
Mansfield Town and Notts County attack and defence ratings
Mansfield Town
Attack
1.38 +38%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Notts County
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mansfield Town vs Notts County: result vs prediction
Mansfield Town 0 – 2 Notts County
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mansfield Town vs Notts County markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mansfield Town | 52.0% | 1.92 | +1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mansfield Town | 52.0% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Notts County | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mansfield Town win | 32.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-0 | 10.0% | |
| 2-0 | 10.0% |
Mansfield Town vs Notts County stats
Mansfield Town and Notts County recent form
| Mansfield Town |
WWDWDD |
| Notts County |
DWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mansfield Town and Notts County going into this match
Mansfield Town record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Notts County record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mansfield Town vs Notts County head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Mansfield Town wins
2Draws
1Notts County wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-03 | Mansfield Town | Notts County | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-14 | Notts County | Mansfield Town | League Two | 1-4 |
| 2019-02-16 | Notts County | Mansfield Town | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2018-12-08 | Mansfield Town | Notts County | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2018-03-17 | Notts County | Mansfield Town | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2017-10-24 | Notts County | Mansfield Town | EFL Trophy | 1-2 |
| 2017-09-30 | Mansfield Town | Notts County | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2017-01-14 | Notts County | Mansfield Town | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2016-10-08 | Mansfield Town | Notts County | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2016-04-16 | Mansfield Town | Notts County | League Two | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mansfield Town vs Notts County odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 25.4%, away 23.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.68 | 3.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.68 | 3.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.81 | 4.14 |
| SBO | 1.73 | 3.19 | 3.62 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.84 ▲ +0.09
X
3.69 ▼ -0.02
2
3.95 ▼ -0.27
11 snapshots recorded, from .