Notts County
vs
Stockport County
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stockport County
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Notts County vs Stockport County overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Notts County vs Stockport County
| Probability | Notts County | Draw | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.6% | 28.8% | 49.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 21.6% | 28.8% | 49.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stockport County
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Notts County vs Stockport County match preview
Notts County faces Stockport County in a League One clash on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Notts County has a 22% chance of winning, while Stockport County is favored with a 50% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. Notts County's recent form shows four consecutive losses followed by two draws, indicating struggles to secure points. In contrast, Stockport County has performed better, with three wins in their last five matches.
The expected goals for Notts County stand at 0.90, while Stockport County is projected at 1.48. There is a 43% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams scoring is estimated at 47%. With a confidence grade of C, the match presents an intriguing dynamic between the two sides.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Notts County and Stockport County expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
Notts County and Stockport County attack and defence ratings
Notts County
Stockport County
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Reading vs Barnsley — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient
- AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe — match page
- Oxford United vs Bradford — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday
- Blackpool v Mansfield Town — match page
- Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons — team news & stats
- Cambridge United vs Plymouth
Before and after this match
Notts County vs Stockport County markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Notts County | 21.6% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Stockport County | 49.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 25.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 50.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 12.5% | |
| 0-0 | 10.5% |
Notts County vs Stockport County stats
Notts County and Stockport County recent form
| Notts County |
LLLLDD |
| Stockport County |
WWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Notts County and Stockport County season so far
Notts County record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Stockport County record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.