League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 13
Notts County
vs
Stockport County
1 – 1 Full time
| 11′ | Scott Robertson | ||
| 15′ | Nicholas Tsaroulla | ||
| 56′ | Ben Osborn | ||
| 61′ | D. KanuJack Evans | ||
| 61′ | Nicholas TsaroullaDarius Lipsiuc | ||
| 64′ | Ben OsbornEthan Ennis | ||
| 64′ | Jack DiamondBenoný Breki Andrésson | ||
| 64′ | Ryan GloverJosh Cogley | ||
| 71′ | Luka Smyth | ||
| 72′ | oliver whatmuff | ||
| 73′ | Harry WoodAdama Sidibeh | ||
| 73′ | Lewis BateLewis Fiorini | ||
| 74′ | Luka Smythlee ndlovu | ||
| 80′ | Lucas Ness | ||
| 81′ | Adama Sidibeh | ||
| 82′ | Rod McDonald | ||
| 85′ | Scott RobertsonMax Sanders | ||
| 85′ | Conor·GrantHindolo Mustapha |
Notts County
19%
Draw
25%
Stockport County
55%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 26 | Possession % | 74 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 170 | Accurate passes | 608 |
Notts County vs Stockport County overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Notts County vs Stockport County
| Probability | Notts County | Draw | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 30.2% | 46.1% |
| Market | 17.8% | 23.9% | 58.3% |
| Final | 19.3% | 25.5% | 55.2% |
| Edge | +1.5% | +1.6% | -3.1% |
Why Stockport County
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
12%
Notts County and Stockport County expected goals
Notts County
0.91
Stockport County
1.36
Total expected goals: 2.27
Notts County and Stockport County attack and defence ratings
Notts County
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Stockport County
Attack
1.31 +31%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Notts County vs Stockport County: result vs prediction
Notts County 1 – 1 Stockport County
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Notts County vs Stockport County markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 55.2% | 1.81 | -3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Notts County | 19.3% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Stockport County | 55.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.7% |
| No | 54.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 54.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 12.8% | |
| 0-0 | 11.6% |
Notts County vs Stockport County stats
Notts County and Stockport County recent form
| Notts County |
WLLLLD |
| Stockport County |
WWWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Notts County and Stockport County going into this match
Notts County record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stockport County record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
Notts County vs Stockport County head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
3Notts County wins
2Draws
3Stockport County wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-16 | Notts County | Stockport County | League Two | 2-5 |
| 2023-12-22 | Stockport County | Notts County | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2022-03-15 | Stockport County | Notts County | National League | 3-0 |
| 2021-10-23 | Notts County | Stockport County | National League | 2-1 |
| 2021-02-23 | Stockport County | Notts County | National League | 0-0 |
| 2021-01-16 | Stockport County | Notts County | FA Trophy | 1-2 |
| 2020-12-15 | Notts County | Stockport County | National League | 1-0 |
| 2019-08-06 | Notts County | Stockport County | National League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Notts County vs Stockport County odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.1%, draw 23.8%, away 58.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.99 | 3.90 | 1.63 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 3.70 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 5.60 | 3.75 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.10 | 1.62 |
| Marathonbet | 5.05 | 3.90 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | 5.73 | 4.10 | 1.60 |
| SBO | 4.82 | 3.54 | 1.48 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
5.25 ▲ +0.05
X
3.90 —
2
1.60 —
7 snapshots recorded, from .