Oxford United
vs
Stockport County
1 – 0 Full time
| 35′ | Mark Harris | ||
| 45′ | Ben OsbornEthan Ennis | ||
| 45′ | Oliver NorwoodLewis Fiorini | ||
| 51′ | Jack Currie | ||
| 66′ | Tyler GoodrhamAidomo Emakhu | ||
| 66′ | Luka LynchGatlin O Donkor | ||
| 66′ | Louie SibleyKai Andrews | ||
| 66′ | Harry WoodJason Adigun | ||
| 67′ | Benoný Breki AndréssonJack Diamond | ||
| 71′ | Lewis BateMikael Mandron | ||
| 74′ | Jack CurrieBrodie Spencer | ||
| 83′ | Siriki DembeleMo Missanga | ||
| 85′ | Ethan Pye |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 7 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 270 | Accurate passes | 472 |
Oxford United vs Stockport County overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oxford United vs Stockport County
| Probability | Oxford United | Draw | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.5% | 29.9% | 33.6% |
| Market | 28.1% | 25.2% | 46.7% |
| Final | 30.2% | 26.4% | 43.4% |
| Edge | +2.1% | +1.2% | -3.3% |
Why Stockport County
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oxford United and Stockport County expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Oxford United and Stockport County attack and defence ratings
Oxford United
Stockport County
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oxford United vs Stockport County: result vs prediction
Oxford United 1 – 0 Stockport County
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oxford United vs Stockport County markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 43.4% | 2.30 | -3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oxford United | 30.2% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Stockport County | 43.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% |
| No | 48.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 14.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 66.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.9% | |
| 1-0 | 9.5% |
Oxford United vs Stockport County stats
Oxford United and Stockport County recent form
| Oxford United |
DWDWDW |
| Stockport County |
DWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oxford United and Stockport County going into this match
Oxford United record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stockport County record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Oxford United vs Stockport County head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Oxford United vs Stockport County odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.1%, draw 25.2%, away 46.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.30 | 3.74 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.75 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.70 | 2.07 |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 3.74 | 1.98 |
| Pinnacle | 3.38 | 3.92 | 2.05 |
| SBO | 2.97 | 3.26 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .