League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 14
Stockport County
vs
AFC Wimbledon
2 – 1 Full time
| 47′ | Jayden Stockley | ||
| 56′ | Oliver NorwoodJason Adigun | ||
| 56′ | Josh CogleyMikael Mandron | ||
| 60′ | Eoghan O'Connell | ||
| 64′ | Jack Diamond | ||
| 65′ | Benoný Breki AndréssonHarry Wood | ||
| 70′ | Harry CornickIsaac Ogundere | ||
| 74′ | Ethan Ennis | ||
| 75′ | Jayden Stockley | ||
| 79′ | James TilleyCallum Maycock | ||
| 79′ | Myles HippolyteZack Nelson | ||
| 79′ | Andy YiadomSteven Sessegnon | ||
| 80′ | Ethan EnnisRyan Glover | ||
| 80′ | Jack DiamondBen Osborn | ||
| 89′ | Alistair SmithH. Hedges |
Stockport County
74%
Draw
17%
AFC Wimbledon
9%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 70 | Possession % | 30 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 3 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 7 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 635 | Accurate passes | 234 |
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon
| Probability | Stockport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.6% | 18.9% | 7.5% |
| Market | 73.9% | 16.3% | 9.9% |
| Final | 73.8% | 16.9% | 9.3% |
| Edge | -0.1% | +0.7% | -0.6% |
Why Stockport County
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
7%
Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon expected goals
Stockport County
2.16
AFC Wimbledon
0.56
Total expected goals: 2.72
Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon attack and defence ratings
Stockport County
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.79 -21%
AFC Wimbledon
Attack
0.60 -40%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon: result vs prediction
Stockport County 2 – 1 AFC Wimbledon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 73.8% | 1.35 | -0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 73.8% |
| Draw | 16.9% | |
| AFC Wimbledon | 9.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.8% |
| No | 61.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 49.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 26.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.4% |
| 1-0 | 13.4% | |
| 3-0 | 11.0% |
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon stats
Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon recent form
| Stockport County |
LDWWWW |
| AFC Wimbledon |
DLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon going into this match
Stockport County record
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
AFC Wimbledon record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
5Stockport County wins
0Draws
1AFC Wimbledon wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | AFC Wimbledon | Stockport County | League One | 0-2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Stockport County | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-01 | Stockport County | AFC Wimbledon | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 | AFC Wimbledon | Stockport County | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2023-01-28 | AFC Wimbledon | Stockport County | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2022-09-03 | Stockport County | AFC Wimbledon | League Two | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 73.9%, draw 16.3%, away 9.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 5.70 | 9.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.27 | 5.75 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 6.00 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.29 | 5.60 | 8.75 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.28 | 6.20 | 9.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 5.70 | 9.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26 | 6.31 | 10.38 |
| SBO | 1.22 | 4.94 | 6.95 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.26 —
X
5.72 ▲ +0.12
2
9.45 ▲ +0.15
11 snapshots recorded, from .