Stockport County
vs
AFC Wimbledon
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stockport County
2 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 0.55.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon
| Probability | Stockport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77.8% | 16.2% | 6.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 77.8% | 16.2% | 6.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stockport County
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon match preview
Stockport County enters the match against AFC Wimbledon with a strong probability of winning at 78%. Their recent form shows a solid performance with four wins and two draws in their last six matches. The expected goals for Stockport County stand at 2.40, indicating a potent attacking threat, while AFC Wimbledon is projected to score only 0.55 goals.
In their last two encounters, Stockport County has secured two victories over AFC Wimbledon, underscoring their dominance in this matchup. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Stockport County, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. AFC Wimbledon has struggled recently, with only one draw and five losses in their last six games.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon attack and defence ratings
Stockport County
AFC Wimbledon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 77.8% |
| Draw | 16.2% | |
| AFC Wimbledon | 6.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.2% |
| No | 60.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 55.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 22.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.1% |
| 3-0 | 12.1% | |
| 1-0 | 11.9% |
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon stats
Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon recent form
| Stockport County |
DWWWWD |
| AFC Wimbledon |
DLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stockport County and AFC Wimbledon season so far
Stockport County record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
AFC Wimbledon record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | AFC Wimbledon | Stockport County | League One | 0-2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Stockport County | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.