England FA Cup
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Cray Wanderers
vs
Stockport County
2 – 3 Full time
| 21′ | Sammie McLeod | ||
| 31′ | Luca·Ashby-Hammond | ||
| 34′ | Che Gardneroliver whatmuff | ||
| 36′ | Alex Hernandez | ||
| 45′ | Tom Wilson-BrownEthan Pye | ||
| 45′ | Benoný Breki AndréssonJack Diamond | ||
| 50′ | Eoghan O'Connell | ||
| 51′ | Ethan Pye | ||
| 61′ | Jason AdigunKyle Wootton | ||
| 69′ | Alex Hernandez | ||
| 79′ | Ola OgunwamideLateef Adaja | ||
| 80′ | Frankie RaymondSeidou Sanogo | ||
| 81′ | Kyle Wootton | ||
| 84′ | Bayli Spencer AdamsTobi Tinubu | ||
| 86′ | Rashid YussuffSaul kader | ||
| 90′ | Mikael Mandron | ||
| 90′ | Josh CogleyJade Jay Mingi | ||
| 101′ | Lewis Fiorini | ||
| 102′ | Alex HernandezAlfie·Payne | ||
| 103′ | John UfuahShae Hutchinson | ||
| 105′ | Mikael MandronRichard Ilara |
Cray Wanderers
16%
Draw
18%
Stockport County
67%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 6 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 190 | Accurate passes | 514 |
Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County
| Probability | Cray Wanderers | Draw | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 32.5% | 25.4% |
| Market | 7.1% | 12.5% | 80.3% |
| Final | 15.9% | 17.5% | 66.6% |
| Edge | +8.8% | +5.0% | -13.7% |
Why Stockport County
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Cray Wanderers and Stockport County expected goals
Cray Wanderers
1.19
Stockport County
0.86
Total expected goals: 2.05
Cray Wanderers and Stockport County attack and defence ratings
Cray Wanderers
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.59 -41%
Stockport County
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.66 -34%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County: result vs prediction
Cray Wanderers 2 – 3 Stockport County
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Oxford City v Leicester — match page
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 66.6% | 1.50 | -13.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cray Wanderers | 15.9% |
| Draw | 17.5% | |
| Stockport County | 66.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.5% |
| No | 58.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 33.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 8.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 74.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-0 | 14.0% |
Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County stats
Cray Wanderers and Stockport County recent form
| Cray Wanderers |
DDWWDW |
| Stockport County |
WLDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cray Wanderers and Stockport County going into this match
Cray Wanderers record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.1%, draw 12.5%, away 80.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 14.20 | 7.40 | 1.15 |
| Bet365 | 13.00 | 7.50 | 1.17 |
| BetVictor | 13.00 | 7.00 | 1.13 |
| Betano | 13.00 | 6.60 | 1.18 |
| Betfair | 14.00 | 8.00 | 1.14 |
| Dafabet | 14.00 | 8.40 | 1.18 |
| Marathonbet | 14.25 | 7.40 | 1.15 |
| Pinnacle | 12.45 | 7.64 | 1.16 |
| SBO | 9.26 | 6.09 | 1.12 |
| William Hill | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.17 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
13.00 ▼ -1.20
X
7.40 —
2
1.15 —
13 snapshots recorded, from .