Cray Wanderers
vs
Bedford Town
2 – 2 Full time
Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town
| Probability | Cray Wanderers | Draw | Bedford Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.1% | 29.4% | 15.5% |
| Market | 35.7% | 24.9% | 39.4% |
| Final | 40.6% | 26.0% | 33.4% |
| Edge | +19.4% | +4.5% | -23.9% |
Why Cray Wanderers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cray Wanderers below the model: +19.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cray Wanderers and Bedford Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
Cray Wanderers and Bedford Town attack and defence ratings
Cray Wanderers
Bedford Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town: result vs prediction
Cray Wanderers 2 – 2 Bedford Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cray Wanderers | 40.6% | 2.46 | +19.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cray Wanderers | 40.6% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Bedford Town | 33.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.2% |
| No | 62.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cray Wanderers win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.5% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.9% |
| 0-0 | 13.7% | |
| 2-0 | 12.9% |
Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town stats
Cray Wanderers and Bedford Town recent form
| Cray Wanderers |
DWWDWD |
| Bedford Town |
DWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cray Wanderers and Bedford Town going into this match
Cray Wanderers record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Bedford Town | Cray Wanderers | England FA Cup | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cray Wanderers vs Bedford Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.7%, draw 24.9%, away 39.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.58 | 2.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.70 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.65 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 4.00 | 2.37 |
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 3.58 | 2.28 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.80 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .