England FA Cup · Full time ·4th Round Qualifying

Bedford Town vs Cray Wanderers

0 – 0 Full time

17′Bedford Town
68′Cray Wanderers
76′Cray Wanderers
77′Bedford Town
85′Cray Wanderers
86′Bedford Town
86′Cray Wanderers
91′Cray Wanderers

The New Eyrie, Cardington

Bedford Town 45%
Draw 25%
Cray Wanderers 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 8
43 Possession % 57
3 Corners 6

Bedford Town vs Cray Wanderers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bedford Town vs Cray Wanderers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBedford TownDrawCray Wanderers
Model23.5%29.0%47.5%
Market51.7%24.3%24.0%
Final44.7%25.5%29.9%
Edge-28.2%+4.8%+23.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bedford Town ↓ / Cray Wanderers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 12% 10% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Bedford Town and Cray Wanderers expected goals

Bedford Town 0.95
Cray Wanderers 1.45

Total expected goals: 2.41

Bedford Town and Cray Wanderers attack and defence ratings

Bedford Town

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Cray Wanderers

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.56 -44%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bedford Town vs Cray Wanderers: result vs prediction

Bedford Town 0 – 0 Cray Wanderers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures

England FA Cup

Before and after this match

Bedford Town vs Cray Wanderers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bedford Town 44.7% 2.24 -28.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.8% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score No 51.7% 1.94 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 76.5% 1.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bedford Town44.7%
Draw25.5%
Cray Wanderers29.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.2%
Under 2.556.8%
Both teams to scoreYes48.3%
No51.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.1%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)55.3%
Handicap -1Bedford Town win8.7%
Push (exactly one goal)14.8%
Loss76.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
0-111.8%
0-010.3%

Bedford Town vs Cray Wanderers stats

Bedford Town and Cray Wanderers recent form

newest first
Bedford Town WDWLDL
Cray Wanderers WWDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bedford Town and Cray Wanderers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cray Wanderers record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Bedford Town vs Cray Wanderers head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Bedford Town vs Cray Wanderers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.7%, draw 24.3%, away 24.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.74 3.72 3.80
Bet365 1.75 3.70 3.60
BetVictor 1.75 4.00 3.90
Marathonbet 1.72 3.72 3.72

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 —
X 3.72 —
2 3.76 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .