Stockport County
vs
Reading
3 – 1 Full time
Stockport County vs Reading overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stockport County vs Reading
| Probability | Stockport County | Draw | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.1% | 28.5% | 34.5% |
| Market | 51.9% | 24.1% | 24.0% |
| Final | 48.2% | 25.2% | 26.6% |
| Edge | -3.7% | +1.1% | +2.6% |
Why Stockport County
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stockport County and Reading expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Stockport County and Reading attack and defence ratings
Stockport County
Reading
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stockport County vs Reading: result vs prediction
Stockport County 3 – 1 Reading
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stockport County vs Reading markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 48.2% | 2.08 | -3.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 48.2% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Reading | 26.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
Stockport County vs Reading stats
Stockport County and Reading recent form
| Stockport County |
WWLDWW |
| Reading |
WLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stockport County and Reading going into this match
Stockport County record
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Reading record
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stockport County vs Reading head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Reading | Stockport County | League One | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Stockport County | Reading | League One | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Reading | Stockport County | League One | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-29 | Stockport County | Reading | League One | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stockport County vs Reading odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.9%, draw 24.1%, away 24.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.92 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.75 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 3.85 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.92 | 3.92 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 4.19 | 4.01 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.36 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .