Cambridge United
vs
Stockport County
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stockport County
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.08.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cambridge United vs Stockport County overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cambridge United vs Stockport County
| Probability | Cambridge United | Draw | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.3% | 25.8% | 51.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.3% | 25.8% | 51.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stockport County
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Cambridge United vs Stockport County match preview
Cambridge United faces Stockport County in a League One matchup with Cambridge holding a 22% probability of winning, while Stockport County is favored at 52%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 26%. The most probable scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2 in favor of Stockport County, with an expected goals tally of 1.08 for Cambridge and 1.75 for Stockport.
Recent form shows Cambridge United struggling with two losses and three draws in their last five matches, while Stockport County has been more successful, winning four of their last five games. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cambridge United and Stockport County expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Cambridge United and Stockport County attack and defence ratings
Cambridge United
Stockport County
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cambridge United vs Stockport County markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambridge United | 22.3% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Stockport County | 51.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 29.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 48.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-1 | 9.2% |
Cambridge United vs Stockport County stats
Cambridge United and Stockport County recent form
| Cambridge United |
LLDLDW |
| Stockport County |
WWLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cambridge United and Stockport County season so far
Cambridge United record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stockport County record
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Cambridge United vs Stockport County head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Stockport County | Cambridge United | England FA Cup | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.