Barnsley
vs
Sheffield Wednesday
Garuda Lions Prediction: Barnsley
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday
| Probability | Barnsley | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.1% | 23.6% | 32.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.1% | 23.6% | 32.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday match preview
Barnsley will face Sheffield Wednesday in a League One clash on November 20, 2026. According to our model, Barnsley has a 44% probability of winning, while Sheffield Wednesday stands at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Barnsley, with a 9% probability. The expected goals for Barnsley are 1.92, compared to 1.63 for Sheffield Wednesday.
In terms of recent form, Barnsley has recorded one win, one draw, and four losses in their last six matches, while Sheffield Wednesday has one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six games. Our model indicates a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% probability that both teams will score, suggesting an engaging match is anticipated.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barnsley and Sheffield Wednesday expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Barnsley and Sheffield Wednesday attack and defence ratings
Barnsley
Sheffield Wednesday
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnsley | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnsley | 44.1% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 32.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% |
| No | 30.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barnsley win | 25.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Barnsley vs Sheffield Wednesday stats
Barnsley and Sheffield Wednesday recent form
| Barnsley |
WDLLLL |
| Sheffield Wednesday |
LDDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barnsley and Sheffield Wednesday season so far
Barnsley record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sheffield Wednesday record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.