Stevenage
vs
Sheffield Wednesday
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stevenage
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Stevenage vs Sheffield Wednesday overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stevenage vs Sheffield Wednesday
| Probability | Stevenage | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.7% | 31.3% | 33.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.7% | 31.3% | 33.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Stevenage vs Sheffield Wednesday match preview
Stevenage will host Sheffield Wednesday in a League One clash on November 24, 2026. The model gives Stevenage a 36% chance of winning, while Sheffield Wednesday has a 33% probability of securing victory, and a draw stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Stevenage, with an 11% likelihood.
In terms of offensive output, expected goals suggest Stevenage will score 1.16 and Sheffield Wednesday 1.11. The chances of over 2.5 goals are at 39%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 47%. Recent form shows Stevenage with mixed results (L-W-W-D-D-L), while Sheffield Wednesday has been more consistent with three wins in their last five matches (D-D-W-W-W-L).
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stevenage and Sheffield Wednesday expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Stevenage and Sheffield Wednesday attack and defence ratings
Stevenage
Sheffield Wednesday
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stevenage vs Sheffield Wednesday markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stevenage | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stevenage | 35.7% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 33.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.2% |
| No | 52.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stevenage win | 15.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 64.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.7% | |
| 1-0 | 10.7% |
Stevenage vs Sheffield Wednesday stats
Stevenage and Sheffield Wednesday recent form
| Stevenage |
LWWDDL |
| Sheffield Wednesday |
DDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stevenage and Sheffield Wednesday season so far
Stevenage record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Sheffield Wednesday record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.