Blackpool
vs
Wigan
Garuda Lions Prediction: Blackpool
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Blackpool vs Wigan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blackpool vs Wigan
| Probability | Blackpool | Draw | Wigan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.3% | 27.3% | 30.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.3% | 27.3% | 30.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Blackpool vs Wigan match preview
In the upcoming League One match between Blackpool and Wigan, Blackpool holds a 42% probability of winning, while Wigan has a 30% chance, and a draw stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Blackpool, with a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 53% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score with a 58% probability.
Analyzing recent form, Blackpool has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, a draw, and three losses in their last six matches. Wigan, on the other hand, has slightly better form with three wins, a draw, and two losses in their recent games. The expected goals for Blackpool are 1.54, while Wigan is at 1.27, indicating a competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blackpool and Wigan expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Blackpool and Wigan attack and defence ratings
Blackpool
Wigan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Blackpool vs Wigan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackpool | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackpool | 42.3% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Wigan | 30.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Blackpool win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 57.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 8.1% |
Blackpool vs Wigan stats
Blackpool and Wigan recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Blackpool and Wigan season so far
Blackpool record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Wigan record
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 14 matches.
Blackpool vs Wigan head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Blackpool | Wigan | League One | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Wigan | Blackpool | League One | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.