AFC Wimbledon
vs
Blackpool
1 – 0 Full time
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
| Probability | AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.3% | 27.1% | 44.6% |
| Market | 35.5% | 27.5% | 37.0% |
| Final | 33.7% | 27.4% | 38.9% |
| Edge | -1.8% | -0.1% | +1.9% |
Why Blackpool
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool attack and defence ratings
AFC Wimbledon
Blackpool
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool: result vs prediction
AFC Wimbledon 1 – 0 Blackpool
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Leicester vs Bradford
- Wigan v Barnsley — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth — team news & stats
- Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion — match page
- Peterborough vs Oxford United — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Leyton Orient
- Wycombe v Huddersfield — match page
- Luton vs Cambridge United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackpool | 38.9% | 2.57 | +1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AFC Wimbledon | 33.7% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Blackpool | 38.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% |
| No | 42.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Blackpool win | 23.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool stats
AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool recent form
| AFC Wimbledon |
LLDLLL |
| Blackpool |
WDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AFC Wimbledon and Blackpool going into this match
AFC Wimbledon record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
Blackpool record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | AFC Wimbledon | Blackpool | League One | 4-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Blackpool | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 0-2 |
| 2021-03-06 | Blackpool | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 1-1 |
| 2020-10-27 | AFC Wimbledon | Blackpool | League One | 1-0 |
| 2020-02-22 | AFC Wimbledon | Blackpool | League One | 0-0 |
| 2019-11-16 | Blackpool | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 2-0 |
| 2018-12-29 | AFC Wimbledon | Blackpool | League One | 0-0 |
| 2018-10-20 | Blackpool | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 2-0 |
| 2018-01-20 | AFC Wimbledon | Blackpool | League One | 2-0 |
| 2017-09-02 | Blackpool | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.5%, draw 27.5%, away 37.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.69 | 3.38 | 2.45 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.69 | 3.38 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71 | 3.42 | 2.67 |
| SBO | 2.45 | 3.04 | 2.42 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .