Leicester
vs
Bradford
Garuda Lions Prediction: Leicester
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Leicester is the favourite, not a value bet.
Leicester vs Bradford overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leicester vs Bradford
| Probability | Leicester | Draw | Bradford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.9% | 27.5% | 42.6% |
| Market | 50.2% | 25.4% | 24.4% |
| Final | 45.2% | 25.9% | 28.9% |
| Edge | -5.1% | +0.5% | +4.5% |
Why Leicester
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.9% per unit staked (our 45.2% × 1.93 − 1).
Leicester vs Bradford match preview
Leicester and Bradford are set to clash in this League One fixture, with Leicester holding a 45% probability of winning, while Bradford has a 29% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Leicester, with an expected goals tally of 1.25 for Leicester and 1.53 for Bradford. Additionally, there is a 52% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score in 57% of the scenarios.
In terms of recent form, Leicester has recorded a sequence of W-D-W-L-W-W, while Bradford comes in with W-L-W-D-D-W. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions. This contest promises to be competitive, with both teams showing potential to find the back of the net.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leicester and Bradford expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Leicester and Bradford attack and defence ratings
Leicester
Bradford
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Wigan v Barnsley — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth — team news & stats
- AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
- Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion — match page
- Peterborough vs Oxford United — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Leyton Orient
- Wycombe v Huddersfield — match page
- Luton vs Cambridge United — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Leicester vs Bradford markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leicester | 45.2% | 2.21 | -5.1% | 1.93 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leicester | 45.2% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Bradford | 28.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% |
| No | 43.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leicester win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 70.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 8.3% |
Leicester vs Bradford stats
Leicester and Bradford recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leicester and Bradford season so far
Leicester record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
Bradford record
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leicester vs Bradford head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Leicester vs Bradford odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.4%, draw 25.4%, away 24.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.68 | 3.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 3.94 | 4.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.59 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .