Peterborough
vs
Luton
0 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | Jordan Clark | ||
| 9′ | Harry Ashfield | ||
| 43′ | Jamie Donley | ||
| 45′ | Harry AshfieldMatthew Garbett | ||
| 45′ | Vernon MasaraBrandon·Singh Khela | ||
| 46′ | Liam Kelly | ||
| 59′ | Callum MarshallNahki Wells | ||
| 59′ | Liam WalshDan Gore | ||
| 66′ | Carl JohnstonSam Hughes | ||
| 66′ | Ethan WilliamsD. Ormerod | ||
| 70′ | Jake RichardsTudor Mendel-Idowu | ||
| 72′ | Harley MillsDeclan Firth | ||
| 76′ | Kasey Palmer | ||
| 84′ | Isaiah JonesHarrison Ashby | ||
| 85′ | Kasey PalmerE. Lawrence |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 343 | Accurate passes | 252 |
Peterborough vs Luton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Peterborough vs Luton
| Probability | Peterborough | Draw | Luton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.8% | 22.9% | 51.2% |
| Market | 28.1% | 24.0% | 47.9% |
| Final | 27.6% | 23.7% | 48.7% |
| Edge | -0.6% | -0.3% | +0.8% |
Why Luton
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.45.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Peterborough and Luton expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
Peterborough and Luton attack and defence ratings
Peterborough
Luton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Peterborough vs Luton: result vs prediction
Peterborough 0 – 2 Luton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Peterborough vs Luton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Luton | 48.7% | 2.05 | +0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterborough | 27.6% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Luton | 48.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% |
| No | 32.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Luton win | 30.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 48.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
Peterborough vs Luton stats
Peterborough and Luton recent form
| Peterborough |
LDLDWL |
| Luton |
WWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Peterborough and Luton going into this match
Peterborough record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Luton record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Peterborough vs Luton head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Luton | Peterborough | League One | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Peterborough | Luton | League One | 0-2 |
| 2022-07-20 | Peterborough | Luton | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2022-04-05 | Peterborough | Luton | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-07 | Luton | Peterborough | Championship | 3-0 |
| 2019-01-19 | Luton | Peterborough | League One | 4-0 |
| 2018-11-13 | Peterborough | Luton | EFL Trophy | 2-1 |
| 2018-08-18 | Peterborough | Luton | League One | 3-1 |
| 2018-01-09 | Luton | Peterborough | EFL Trophy | 0-0 |
| 2015-12-06 | Peterborough | Luton | FA Cup | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Peterborough vs Luton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.1%, draw 24.0%, away 47.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.32 | 3.90 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.90 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.90 | 2.02 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.90 | 1.93 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50 | 3.97 | 2.00 |
| SBO | 2.87 | 3.36 | 1.91 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .