Bradford
vs
Peterborough
2 – 0 Full time
| 5′ | Macauley Gillesphey | ||
| 13′ | Macauley Gillesphey | ||
| 20′ | Reece Welch | ||
| 28′ | George Lapslie | ||
| 31′ | Bobby Pointon | ||
| 34′ | Callumm Connolly | ||
| 53′ | Reece WelchAden·Baldwin | ||
| 53′ | Corey O'KeeffeKayden Jackson | ||
| 57′ | Harry AshfieldMatthew Garbett | ||
| 57′ | Vernon MasaraBolu Shofowoke | ||
| 57′ | Carl JohnstonJames Dornelly | ||
| 59′ | Lucca Mendonça | ||
| 60′ | George LapslieAdam Phillips | ||
| 61′ | Bobby PointonWill Swan | ||
| 66′ | Brandon·Singh KhelaHarrison Jones | ||
| 67′ | Adam Phillips | ||
| 68′ | Owura EdwardsDeclan Firth | ||
| 69′ | Antoni SarcevicKieran Morgan | ||
| 73′ | Harley Mills | ||
| 86′ | Kieran Morgan |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 246 | Accurate passes | 234 |
Bradford vs Peterborough overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bradford vs Peterborough
| Probability | Bradford | Draw | Peterborough |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.1% | 34.1% | 17.8% |
| Market | 59.6% | 22.5% | 17.9% |
| Final | 56.7% | 25.4% | 17.9% |
| Edge | -2.9% | +2.9% | -0.0% |
Why Bradford
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bradford and Peterborough expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.74
Bradford and Peterborough attack and defence ratings
Bradford
Peterborough
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bradford vs Peterborough: result vs prediction
Bradford 2 – 0 Peterborough
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bradford vs Peterborough markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bradford | 56.7% | 1.76 | -2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bradford | 56.7% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Peterborough | 17.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.6% |
| No | 68.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bradford win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.6% | |
| Loss | 51.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.0% |
| 0-0 | 18.8% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Bradford vs Peterborough stats
Bradford and Peterborough recent form
| Bradford |
DDWDDW |
| Peterborough |
DLDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bradford vs Peterborough head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Bradford | Peterborough | League One | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Bradford | Peterborough | League One | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Peterborough | Bradford | League One | 1-1 |
| 2019-03-09 | Bradford | Peterborough | League One | 3-1 |
| 2018-12-11 | Bradford | Peterborough | FA Cup | 8-8 |
| 2018-12-01 | Peterborough | Bradford | FA Cup | 2-2 |
| 2018-11-17 | Peterborough | Bradford | League One | 1-1 |
| 2017-12-26 | Bradford | Peterborough | League One | 1-3 |
| 2017-09-09 | Peterborough | Bradford | League One | 1-3 |
| 2017-03-04 | Bradford | Peterborough | League One | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bradford vs Peterborough odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.6%, draw 22.5%, away 17.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.30 | 5.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.85 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.60 | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 4.30 | 5.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.25 | 5.28 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.55 | 4.32 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
80 snapshots recorded, from .