Everton
vs
Newcastle United
3 – 1 Full time
| 34′ | James Garner | ||
| 45′ | Hayden Hackney | ||
| 45′ | William OsulaYoane Wissa | ||
| 45′ | Harvey BarnesAnthony Elanga | ||
| 45′ | Jacob RamseyJoelinton | ||
| 60′ | Hayden Hackney | ||
| 65′ | Hayden HackneyHarrison Armstrong | ||
| 67′ | Jacob MurphyBazoumana Touré | ||
| 69′ | Thierno Barry | ||
| 74′ | Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | ||
| 76′ | Tyler DiblingBrennan Johnson | ||
| 76′ | Tyrique GeorgeCharly Alcaraz | ||
| 81′ | Fabian Schär | ||
| 81′ | Vitaliy Mykolenko | ||
| 81′ | Nico GonzálezSean Steur | ||
| 86′ | Vitaliy MykolenkoAinsley Maitland-Niles | ||
| 86′ | Kiernan Dewsbury-HallChristian Nørgaard | ||
| 88′ | Dan Burn | ||
| 89′ | James Tarkowski | ||
| 89′ | Joelinton | ||
| 89′ | Dan Burn | ||
| 89′ | Jordan Pickford |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 28 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 8 | Saves | 2 |
| 252 | Accurate passes | 355 |
Everton vs Newcastle United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Everton vs Newcastle United
| Probability | Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.0% | 26.1% | 31.9% |
| Market | 41.6% | 26.8% | 31.6% |
| Final | 41.7% | 26.6% | 31.7% |
| Edge | +0.1% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Everton and Newcastle United expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Everton and Newcastle United attack and defence ratings
Everton
Newcastle United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Everton vs Newcastle United: result vs prediction
Everton 3 – 1 Newcastle United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Everton vs Newcastle United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Everton | 41.7% | 2.40 | +0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Everton | 41.7% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Newcastle United | 31.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% |
| No | 38.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Everton win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Everton vs Newcastle United stats
Everton and Newcastle United recent form
| Everton |
LLDWWD |
| Newcastle United |
WLLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Everton vs Newcastle United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Newcastle United | Everton | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2026-02-28 | Newcastle United | Everton | Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Everton | Newcastle United | Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2025-05-25 | Newcastle United | Everton | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Everton | Newcastle United | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-02 | Newcastle United | Everton | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-07 | Everton | Newcastle United | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2023-04-27 | Everton | Newcastle United | Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2022-10-19 | Newcastle United | Everton | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2022-03-17 | Everton | Newcastle United | Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Everton vs Newcastle United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 26.8%, away 31.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.54 | 3.12 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.26 | 3.55 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.33 | 3.54 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 3.54 | 3.10 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.16 | 2.74 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
84 snapshots recorded, from .