Leicester
vs
Stevenage
2 – 2 Full time
| 2′ | Samuel Charles Braybrooke | ||
| 22′ | Ben Broggio | ||
| 30′ | Saxon Earley | ||
| 60′ | John LundstramWill Smallbone | ||
| 66′ | K. Doyle | ||
| 68′ | Josh MagennisChem Campbell | ||
| 69′ | Daniel PhillipsMichael Mellon | ||
| 69′ | O. SandersonMatthew Smith | ||
| 76′ | William Thomas-AlvesWes Burns | ||
| 76′ | Ben BroggioTugra Turhan | ||
| 76′ | K. DoyleConor Chaplin | ||
| 78′ | Tugra Turhan | ||
| 79′ | Louis ThompsonTerry·Taylor | ||
| 84′ | Louis PageLiam Cullen | ||
| 85′ | Alex Revell |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 595 | Accurate passes | 263 |
Leicester vs Stevenage overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leicester vs Stevenage
| Probability | Leicester | Draw | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.3% | 27.4% | 24.4% |
| Market | 56.7% | 23.3% | 20.0% |
| Final | 54.6% | 24.3% | 21.1% |
| Edge | -2.1% | +1.0% | +1.1% |
Why Leicester
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.07.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leicester and Stevenage expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Leicester and Stevenage attack and defence ratings
Leicester
Stevenage
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Leicester vs Stevenage: result vs prediction
Leicester 2 – 2 Stevenage
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Leicester vs Stevenage markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leicester | 54.6% | 1.83 | -2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leicester | 54.6% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Stevenage | 21.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leicester win | 25.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 51.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
Leicester vs Stevenage stats
Leicester and Stevenage recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leicester and Stevenage going into this match
Leicester record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
Stevenage record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Leicester vs Stevenage head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Stevenage | Leicester | EFL Trophy | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leicester vs Stevenage odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.7%, draw 23.3%, away 20.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 4.05 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 4.05 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 4.36 | 4.90 |
| SBO | 1.61 | 3.44 | 3.86 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .