League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 14
Barnsley
vs
Oxford United
1 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | Jack Shepherd | ||
| 11′ | Brodie Spencer | ||
| 12′ | Tobi AdeyemoJubril Okedina | ||
| 32′ | Vimal Yoganathan | ||
| 45′ | Luka LynchAidomo Emakhu | ||
| 45′ | Brodie SpencerPeter Kioso | ||
| 57′ | Louie SibleyGatlin O Donkor | ||
| 58′ | Cameron McGeehan | ||
| 60′ | Mark Harris | ||
| 65′ | Reyes ClearyRoyce Brownlie | ||
| 67′ | Patrick Kelly | ||
| 68′ | Sam Long | ||
| 77′ | Tyler GoodrhamMo Missanga | ||
| 78′ | Vimal YoganathanDaniel Johnson | ||
| 78′ | Patrick KellyMakenzie Kirk | ||
| 88′ | Jamie Cumming | ||
| 89′ | Siriki DembeleSimon Eastwood |
Barnsley
32%
Draw
25%
Oxford United
42%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 35 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 24 | Possession % | 76 |
| 4 | Corners | 14 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 8 | Saves | 1 |
| 104 | Accurate passes | 506 |
Barnsley vs Oxford United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barnsley vs Oxford United
| Probability | Barnsley | Draw | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.3% | 25.0% | 54.6% |
| Market | 36.5% | 25.2% | 38.3% |
| Final | 32.4% | 25.2% | 42.4% |
| Edge | -4.0% | -0.0% | +4.1% |
Why Oxford United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Oxford United below our published probability: +4.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
55%
No goals
7%
Barnsley and Oxford United expected goals
Barnsley
1.04
Oxford United
1.83
Total expected goals: 2.87
Barnsley and Oxford United attack and defence ratings
Barnsley
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.44 +44%
Oxford United
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Barnsley vs Oxford United: result vs prediction
Barnsley 1 – 1 Oxford United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Barnsley vs Oxford United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oxford United | 42.4% | 2.36 | +4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnsley | 32.4% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Oxford United | 42.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% |
| No | 44.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oxford United win | 31.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 45.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.5% |
Barnsley vs Oxford United stats
Barnsley and Oxford United recent form
| Barnsley |
LLLLDD |
| Oxford United |
WDWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barnsley and Oxford United going into this match
Barnsley record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oxford United record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barnsley vs Oxford United head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
5Barnsley wins
1Draws
1Oxford United wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-23 | Oxford United | Barnsley | League One | 0-1 |
| 2023-08-19 | Barnsley | Oxford United | League One | 1-3 |
| 2023-04-22 | Barnsley | Oxford United | League One | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-01 | Oxford United | Barnsley | League One | 1-2 |
| 2019-01-29 | Oxford United | Barnsley | League One | 2-2 |
| 2018-08-04 | Barnsley | Oxford United | League One | 4-0 |
| 2016-04-03 | Barnsley | Oxford United | EFL Trophy | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Barnsley vs Oxford United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 25.2%, away 38.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.47 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 4.10 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.65 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.90 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.47 |
| Pinnacle | 2.70 | 3.87 | 2.46 |
| SBO | 2.42 | 3.24 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.56 ▼ -0.10
X
3.70 ▲ +0.10
2
2.44 ▲ +0.08
11 snapshots recorded, from .