Barnsley
vs
Aldershot Town
7 – 2 Full time
| 20′ | Cameron McGeehan | ||
| 26′ | Reyes Cleary | ||
| 30′ | S. Gale | ||
| 33′ | Vimal Yoganathan | ||
| 45′ | Vimal Yoganathan | ||
| 45′ | Tobi AdeyemoMakenzie Kirk | ||
| 60′ | Tristan AbrahamsAnisius Eros Edward Lewis | ||
| 60′ | Ollie HarfieldNino Adom-Malaki | ||
| 60′ | T. DyceJosh Robinson | ||
| 62′ | Cameron McGeehan | ||
| 63′ | Reyes ClearyRoyce Brownlie | ||
| 63′ | Daniel JohnsonPatrick Kelly | ||
| 65′ | Jubril Okedina | ||
| 67′ | Cameron McGeehan | ||
| 71′ | Cameron McGeehanClayton Taylor | ||
| 72′ | B PeartJohn Gilbert | ||
| 74′ | Josh Robinson | ||
| 75′ | Anisius Eros Edward Lewis | ||
| 76′ | S. GaleTyrese Noslin | ||
| 78′ | Hakeem Kwabena Owusu SandahJoe Lewis-Evans | ||
| 86′ | Anisius Eros Edward Lewis | ||
| 87′ | Royce Brownlie | ||
| 90′ | Arley Kay |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
Barnsley vs Aldershot Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barnsley vs Aldershot Town
| Probability | Barnsley | Draw | Aldershot Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.9% | 25.0% | 45.2% |
| Market | 73.9% | 15.3% | 10.8% |
| Final | 62.9% | 17.7% | 19.4% |
| Edge | -11.0% | +2.4% | +8.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barnsley and Aldershot Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Barnsley and Aldershot Town attack and defence ratings
Barnsley
Aldershot Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Barnsley vs Aldershot Town: result vs prediction
Barnsley 7 – 2 Aldershot Town
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — match page
- Oxford City v Leicester — match page
- Huddersfield vs Exeter City — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Stevenage
- Bradford v Marine — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Barnsley vs Aldershot Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnsley | 62.9% | 1.59 | -11.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnsley | 62.9% |
| Draw | 17.7% | |
| Aldershot Town | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% |
| No | 35.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barnsley win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.9% | |
| Loss | 70.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 7.3% |
Barnsley vs Aldershot Town stats
Barnsley and Aldershot Town recent form
| Barnsley |
DLLLLD |
| Aldershot Town |
WDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barnsley vs Aldershot Town head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Barnsley vs Aldershot Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 73.9%, draw 15.3%, away 10.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 6.10 | 8.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 6.50 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.75 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.28 | 5.80 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 6.00 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.29 | 6.40 | 9.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 6.10 | 9.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26 | 6.47 | 8.63 |
| SBO | 1.23 | 4.94 | 6.66 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .