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League One · Full time ·Matchday 9

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth

0 – 2 Full time

13′Thomas William Cleverley
45′Alexander George Henry Gilbert
49′Tony Springett
52′Aribim Pepple
56′Will Evans
59′Tony SpringettAaron Connolly
59′Charlie WellensIsaac Hayden
70′Jaze KabiaArmando Dobra
70′Yusuf AkhamrichDane Scarlett
72′Joe EdwardsMatthew Sorinola
76′Mathias Ross Jensen
81′Oliver IrowCaleb Watts
84′Bradley Ibrahim
84′Phillip ChineduTheodore Archibald
88′Ronan CurtisXavier Amaechi
88′Aribim PeppleJack Mackenzie

Matchroom Stadium, London

Leyton Orient 30%
Draw 25%
Plymouth 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 7
57 Possession % 43
4 Corners 7
12 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 3
4 Saves 4
303 Accurate passes 188

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Leyton Orient vs Plymouth

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLeyton OrientDrawPlymouth
Model39.3%25.3%35.3%
Market26.7%25.3%48.0%
Final29.9%25.3%44.8%
Edge+12.6%+0.0%-12.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Plymouth

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Leyton Orient ↓ / Plymouth → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Leyton Orient and Plymouth expected goals

Leyton Orient 1.66
Plymouth 1.57

Total expected goals: 3.23

Leyton Orient and Plymouth attack and defence ratings

Leyton Orient

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Plymouth

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth: result vs prediction

Leyton Orient 0 – 2 Plymouth

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Plymouth 44.8% 2.23 -12.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.7% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.2% 1.53 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.7% 1.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Leyton Orient29.9%
Draw25.3%
Plymouth44.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.7%
Under 2.537.3%
Both teams to scoreYes65.2%
No34.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.2%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)70.1%
Handicap -1Plymouth win17.7%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss64.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-18.6%
1-28.1%

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth stats

Leyton Orient and Plymouth recent form

newest first
Leyton Orient WLLDWL
Plymouth LWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Leyton Orient and Plymouth going into this match

league record before kick-off

Leyton Orient record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Plymouth record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Leyton Orient wins 0Draws 6Plymouth wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-17Leyton OrientPlymouthLeague One1-3
2025-12-02Leyton OrientPlymouthEFL Trophy0-1
2025-08-19PlymouthLeyton OrientLeague One0-1
2023-08-08PlymouthLeyton OrientLeague Cup2-0
2020-09-15Leyton OrientPlymouthLeague Cup3-2
2019-10-22PlymouthLeyton OrientLeague Two4-0
2019-08-13PlymouthLeyton OrientLeague Cup2-0
2017-02-14PlymouthLeyton OrientLeague Two2-3
2016-09-27Leyton OrientPlymouthLeague Two0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Leyton Orient vs Plymouth odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.7%, draw 25.3%, away 48.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.52 3.66 1.95
Bet365 3.50 3.75 1.91
BetVictor 3.50 3.75 1.95
Betano 3.40 3.70 1.98
Betfair 3.50 3.90 1.95
Marathonbet 3.52 3.66 1.93
Pinnacle 3.63 3.87 1.97
SBO 3.04 3.23 1.96
William Hill 3.40 3.50 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 ▲ +0.20
X 3.70 ▲ +0.10
2 1.95 ▼ -0.05

13 snapshots recorded, from .