League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Leyton Orient
vs
Stevenage
1 – 0 Full time
| 31′ | Terence Vancooten | ||
| 32′ | Lewis Freestone | ||
| 59′ | Louis Thompson | ||
| 64′ | Josh MagennisMichael Mellon | ||
| 64′ | Ben BroggioPhoenix Patterson | ||
| 64′ | Louis ThompsonMatthew Smith | ||
| 65′ | Daniel Phillips | ||
| 65′ | Isaac HaydenSean Clare | ||
| 76′ | Tony SpringettDane Scarlett | ||
| 76′ | Jaze KabiaArmando Dobra | ||
| 79′ | Alexander George Henry Gilbert | ||
| 83′ | Daniel PhillipsJordan Houghton |
Leyton Orient
39%
Draw
29%
Stevenage
33%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 0 |
| 221 | Accurate passes | 252 |
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leyton Orient vs Stevenage
| Probability | Leyton Orient | Draw | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.6% | 26.2% | 32.2% |
| Market | 37.8% | 29.5% | 32.6% |
| Final | 38.8% | 28.7% | 32.5% |
| Edge | +3.8% | -3.3% | -0.5% |
Why Leyton Orient
- The market prices Leyton Orient below the model: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Leyton Orient and Stevenage expected goals
Leyton Orient
1.62
Stevenage
1.41
Total expected goals: 3.03
Leyton Orient and Stevenage attack and defence ratings
Leyton Orient
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Stevenage
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage: result vs prediction
Leyton Orient 1 – 0 Stevenage
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons
- Barnsley v Leicester — match page
- Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town — team news & stats
- Reading vs Notts County
- Wigan v Wycombe — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Cambridge United
- Peterborough v Doncaster — match page
Before and after this match
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leyton Orient | 38.8% | 2.58 | +3.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leyton Orient | 38.8% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Stevenage | 32.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% |
| No | 38.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leyton Orient win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage stats
Leyton Orient and Stevenage recent form
| Leyton Orient |
LLDWLD |
| Stevenage |
WWDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leyton Orient and Stevenage going into this match
Leyton Orient record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Stevenage record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Leyton Orient wins
3Draws
4Stevenage wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Stevenage | Leyton Orient | League One | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Leyton Orient | Stevenage | League One | 2-3 |
| 2025-03-27 | Leyton Orient | Stevenage | League One | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-21 | Leyton Orient | Stevenage | EFL Trophy | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Stevenage | Leyton Orient | League One | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-16 | Stevenage | Leyton Orient | League One | 0-1 |
| 2023-09-02 | Leyton Orient | Stevenage | League One | 0-3 |
| 2023-01-21 | Stevenage | Leyton Orient | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2022-12-27 | Leyton Orient | Stevenage | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Leyton Orient | Stevenage | League Two | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.8%, draw 29.5%, away 32.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.13 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.15 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.95 |
| SBO | 2.25 | 2.89 | 2.63 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.46 ▲ +0.16
X
3.15 ▼ -0.05
2
2.85 ▼ -0.15
9 snapshots recorded, from .