League One · Full time ·Matchday 7

Barnsley vs Leicester

1 – 1 Full time

7′Liam Cullen
11′Olabade Aluko
26′Luca Connell
34′A. RichardsTyrese Noslin
45′Olabade AlukoWoyo Coulibaly
46′William Thomas-Alves
54′Ben Hamed TouréJonathan Bland
56′Samuel Charles Braybrooke
61′Reyes Cleary
62′Liam CullenWes Burns
62′Samuel Charles BraybrookeTom Watson
63′Louis Page
67′Cameron McGeehanVimal Yoganathan
67′S. GaleClayton Taylor
71′Patrick Kelly
81′Louis PageHarry Howell
86′William Thomas-AlvesBobby Reid
89′Arley Kay
90′Jonathan Bland
90′Clayton Taylor

Oakwell Ground, BarnsleyReferee: S. Stockbridge

Barnsley 32%
Draw 25%
Leicester 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 8
21 Possession % 79
5 Corners 12
19 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
6 Saves 4
101 Accurate passes 606

Barnsley vs Leicester overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Barnsley vs Leicester

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBarnsleyDrawLeicester
Model42.0%24.8%33.2%
Market29.3%25.0%45.7%
Final32.5%25.0%42.6%
Edge+12.7%-0.1%-12.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Barnsley ↓ / Leicester → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Barnsley and Leicester expected goals

Barnsley 1.76
Leicester 1.55

Total expected goals: 3.31

Barnsley and Leicester attack and defence ratings

Barnsley

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Leicester

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Barnsley vs Leicester: result vs prediction

Barnsley 1 – 1 Leicester

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Barnsley vs Leicester markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Leicester 42.6% 2.35 -12.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.3% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.2% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.8% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Barnsley32.5%
Draw25.0%
Leicester42.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.3%
Under 2.535.7%
Both teams to scoreYes66.2%
No33.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.4%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)67.5%
Handicap -1Leicester win16.4%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss66.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-18.8%
1-27.7%

Barnsley vs Leicester stats

Barnsley and Leicester recent form

newest first
Barnsley DLLWWW
Leicester WLWDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Barnsley and Leicester going into this match

league record before kick-off

Barnsley record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Leicester record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Barnsley vs Leicester head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Barnsley wins 2Draws 2Leicester wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2014-03-11BarnsleyLeicesterChampionship0-3
2013-09-28LeicesterBarnsleyChampionship2-1
2013-04-01BarnsleyLeicesterChampionship2-0
2012-12-08LeicesterBarnsleyChampionship2-2
2012-01-14LeicesterBarnsleyChampionship1-2
2011-09-10BarnsleyLeicesterChampionship1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Barnsley vs Leicester odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.3%, draw 25.0%, away 45.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.20 3.68 2.06
Bet365 3.25 3.80 2.00
BetVictor 3.13 3.90 2.05
Betano 3.05 3.75 2.10
Betfair 3.30 3.80 2.00
Marathonbet 3.22 3.68 2.03
Pinnacle 3.31 3.95 2.06
SBO 2.77 3.28 1.99
William Hill 3.10 3.60 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.20 ▼ -0.10
X 3.75 ▲ +0.05
2 2.05 ▲ +0.05

9 snapshots recorded, from .