Stockport County
vs
Barnsley
3 – 1 Full time
| 13′ | Patrick Kelly | ||
| 25′ | Cameron McGeehan | ||
| 45′ | Lewis BateLewis Fiorini | ||
| 61′ | Kyle Wootton | ||
| 63′ | Harry Wood | ||
| 63′ | Tyrese NoslinJubril Okedina | ||
| 66′ | Harry WoodJason Adigun | ||
| 70′ | Connor O'RiordanS. Gale | ||
| 70′ | Royce BrownlieJonathan Bland | ||
| 73′ | Kyle Wootton | ||
| 82′ | Vimal YoganathanO'Rian Andrew Reid | ||
| 83′ | Jack Shepherd | ||
| 86′ | Ryan GloverJosh Cogley | ||
| 86′ | Jack DiamondMikael Mandron | ||
| 90′ | Mikael Mandron | ||
| 90′ | Ben OsbornMamadou Jobe |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 5 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 7 | Saves | 1 |
| 342 | Accurate passes | 238 |
Stockport County vs Barnsley overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stockport County vs Barnsley
| Probability | Stockport County | Draw | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.8% | 18.3% | 14.0% |
| Market | 65.6% | 19.1% | 15.2% |
| Final | 66.1% | 18.9% | 14.9% |
| Edge | +0.5% | -0.2% | -0.3% |
Why Stockport County
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.57 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stockport County and Barnsley expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.71
Stockport County and Barnsley attack and defence ratings
Stockport County
Barnsley
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stockport County vs Barnsley: result vs prediction
Stockport County 3 – 1 Barnsley
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stockport County vs Barnsley markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 66.1% | 1.51 | +0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 66.1% |
| Draw | 18.9% | |
| Barnsley | 14.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% |
| No | 36.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 47.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 32.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.2% |
| 2-0 | 8.1% | |
| 3-1 | 7.9% |
Stockport County vs Barnsley stats
Stockport County and Barnsley recent form
| Stockport County |
WDLWLW |
| Barnsley |
DDLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stockport County and Barnsley going into this match
Stockport County record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Barnsley record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 61% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stockport County vs Barnsley head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Barnsley | Stockport County | League One | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-29 | Stockport County | Barnsley | League One | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Stockport County | Barnsley | League One | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Barnsley | Stockport County | League One | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stockport County vs Barnsley odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.6%, draw 19.1%, away 15.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 4.85 | 6.06 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.80 | 6.10 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 4.85 | 6.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 5.42 | 6.08 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 4.36 | 5.42 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.80 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .