League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
AFC Wimbledon
vs
Milton Keynes Dons
0 – 0 Full time
| 15′ | Callum Paterson | ||
| 30′ | Ryan Johnson | ||
| 56′ | Cohen Bramall | ||
| 72′ | Callum MaycockZack Nelson | ||
| 72′ | Ollie HarrisonDujuan Richards | ||
| 79′ | Aaron Collinsibrahim fullah | ||
| 79′ | Dan CrowleyBen Wiles | ||
| 90′ | Johnnie Jackson |
AFC Wimbledon
30%
Draw
28%
Milton Keynes Dons
42%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 180 | Accurate passes | 283 |
AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons
| Probability | AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Milton Keynes Dons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.4% | 29.9% | 40.7% |
| Market | 30.5% | 27.3% | 42.2% |
| Final | 30.2% | 28.0% | 41.8% |
| Edge | -1.0% | +2.6% | -1.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
AFC Wimbledon and Milton Keynes Dons expected goals
AFC Wimbledon
1.09
Milton Keynes Dons
1.33
Total expected goals: 2.42
AFC Wimbledon and Milton Keynes Dons attack and defence ratings
AFC Wimbledon
Attack
0.64 -36%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Milton Keynes Dons
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons: result vs prediction
AFC Wimbledon 0 – 0 Milton Keynes Dons
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Barnsley v Leicester — match page
- Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town — team news & stats
- Reading vs Notts County
- Wigan v Wycombe — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Cambridge United
- Peterborough v Doncaster — match page
- Blackpool vs Plymouth — team news & stats
Before and after this match
AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 41.8% | 2.39 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AFC Wimbledon | 30.2% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 41.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% |
| No | 49.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Milton Keynes Dons win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 59.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | |
| 0-0 | 10.2% |
AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons stats
AFC Wimbledon and Milton Keynes Dons recent form
| AFC Wimbledon |
WWLWLD |
| Milton Keynes Dons |
DDLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AFC Wimbledon and Milton Keynes Dons going into this match
AFC Wimbledon record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Milton Keynes Dons record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
3AFC Wimbledon wins
3Draws
3Milton Keynes Dons wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-25 | Milton Keynes Dons | AFC Wimbledon | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Milton Keynes Dons | AFC Wimbledon | England FA Cup | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-14 | AFC Wimbledon | Milton Keynes Dons | League Two | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-02 | AFC Wimbledon | Milton Keynes Dons | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-23 | Milton Keynes Dons | AFC Wimbledon | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2022-04-09 | AFC Wimbledon | Milton Keynes Dons | League One | 1-1 |
| 2022-01-11 | Milton Keynes Dons | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-30 | AFC Wimbledon | Milton Keynes Dons | League One | 0-2 |
| 2020-10-31 | Milton Keynes Dons | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.5%, draw 27.3%, away 42.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.23 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 3.40 | 2.21 |
| Pinnacle | 3.15 | 3.61 | 2.25 |
| SBO | 2.84 | 3.14 | 2.17 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.05 ▲ +0.16
X
3.40 ▲ +0.05
2
2.20 ▼ -0.04
14 snapshots recorded, from .