Blackpool
vs
Plymouth
2 – 4 Full time
| 30′ | Jordan Brown | ||
| 36′ | Oliver Irow | ||
| 38′ | Jerry Yates | ||
| 47′ | Jordan Williams | ||
| 52′ | Oliver Irow | ||
| 57′ | Harvey White | ||
| 59′ | Joshua EarlFinley Munroe | ||
| 66′ | Matthew SorinolaJoe Edwards | ||
| 66′ | Julio PleguezueloMathias Ross Jensen | ||
| 70′ | Jerry Yates | ||
| 71′ | Karoy Anderson | ||
| 74′ | Albie MorganDion Charles | ||
| 77′ | Oliver IrowCaleb Watts | ||
| 79′ | Jordan BrownLeighton Clarkson | ||
| 86′ | Will EvansBradley Ibrahim | ||
| 89′ | Aribim Pepple |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 208 | Accurate passes | 206 |
Blackpool vs Plymouth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blackpool vs Plymouth
| Probability | Blackpool | Draw | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.6% | 24.2% | 34.2% |
| Market | 35.8% | 25.5% | 38.7% |
| Final | 37.2% | 25.2% | 37.6% |
| Edge | +5.8% | -1.3% | -4.6% |
Why Plymouth
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blackpool and Plymouth expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.46
Blackpool and Plymouth attack and defence ratings
Blackpool
Plymouth
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Blackpool vs Plymouth: result vs prediction
Blackpool 2 – 4 Plymouth
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- AFC Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes Dons
- Barnsley v Leicester — match page
- Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town — team news & stats
- Reading vs Notts County
- Wigan v Wycombe — match page
- Sheffield Wednesday vs Stockport County — team news & stats
- Oxford United vs Cambridge United
- Peterborough v Doncaster — match page
Before and after this match
Blackpool vs Plymouth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plymouth | 37.6% | 2.66 | -4.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blackpool | 37.2% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Plymouth | 37.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.4% |
| No | 31.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Plymouth win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 65.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Blackpool vs Plymouth stats
Blackpool and Plymouth recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Blackpool and Plymouth going into this match
Blackpool record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Plymouth record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Blackpool vs Plymouth head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Blackpool | Plymouth | League One | 0-4 |
| 2025-08-23 | Plymouth | Blackpool | League One | 1-0 |
| 2021-03-27 | Blackpool | Plymouth | League One | 2-2 |
| 2020-09-12 | Plymouth | Blackpool | League One | 1-0 |
| 2019-03-30 | Blackpool | Plymouth | League One | 2-2 |
| 2018-09-15 | Plymouth | Blackpool | League One | 0-1 |
| 2017-12-30 | Blackpool | Plymouth | League One | 2-2 |
| 2017-09-12 | Plymouth | Blackpool | League One | 1-3 |
| 2017-03-07 | Plymouth | Blackpool | League Two | 0-3 |
| 2016-08-27 | Blackpool | Plymouth | League Two | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Blackpool vs Plymouth odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.8%, draw 25.5%, away 38.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 3.68 | 2.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.60 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.70 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.70 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 3.68 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.62 | 3.91 | 2.49 |
| SBO | 2.40 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .