League One · Full time ·Matchday 10

Cambridge United vs Blackpool

1 – 0 Full time

6′George Honeyman
31′Oliver Casey
45′Pelly Ruddock MpanzuOwen Moxon
52′Tom BloxhamHayden Coulson
60′Isaac HeathShayne Lavery
68′Josh BowlerIlmari Niskanen
69′Jerry YatesDion Charles
76′Albie MorganJordan Brown
82′Gassan Ahadme
84′Ben KnightRaees Bangura-Williams
86′Sullay Kaikai
90′Finley Munroe

Abbey Stadium, CambridgeReferee: Lewis Sandoe

Cambridge United 48%
Draw 25%
Blackpool 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
73 Possession % 27
13 Corners 6
9 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 2
1 Saves 6
383 Accurate passes 93

Cambridge United vs Blackpool overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cambridge United vs Blackpool

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCambridge UnitedDrawBlackpool
Model53.3%23.7%23.0%
Market46.7%26.0%27.3%
Final48.4%25.4%26.2%
Edge+1.6%-0.6%-1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Cambridge United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.25.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cambridge Unit ↓ / Blackpool → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Cambridge United and Blackpool expected goals

Cambridge United 1.98
Blackpool 1.25

Total expected goals: 3.23

Cambridge United and Blackpool attack and defence ratings

Cambridge United

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Blackpool

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cambridge United vs Blackpool: result vs prediction

Cambridge United 1 – 0 Blackpool

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Cambridge United vs Blackpool markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cambridge United 48.4% 2.07 +1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.6% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.5% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.8% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cambridge United48.4%
Draw25.4%
Blackpool26.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.6%
Under 2.537.4%
Both teams to scoreYes62.5%
No37.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.8%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)51.6%
Handicap -1Cambridge United win31.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss46.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-19.7%
2-07.7%

Cambridge United vs Blackpool stats

Cambridge United and Blackpool recent form

newest first
Cambridge United DDWDWL
Blackpool LDLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cambridge United and Blackpool going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cambridge United record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Blackpool record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.

Cambridge United vs Blackpool head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Cambridge United wins 3Draws 2Blackpool wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-11BlackpoolCambridge UnitedLeague One2-1
2024-08-24Cambridge UnitedBlackpoolLeague One4-4
2024-04-06BlackpoolCambridge UnitedLeague One1-0
2023-12-16Cambridge UnitedBlackpoolLeague One2-1
2017-01-14Cambridge UnitedBlackpoolLeague Two0-0
2016-10-08BlackpoolCambridge UnitedLeague Two1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cambridge United vs Blackpool odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 26.0%, away 27.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.00 3.60 3.42
Bet365 2.00 3.50 3.50
BetVictor 2.00 3.60 3.50
Betano 2.02 3.55 3.40
Betfair 2.00 3.75 3.40
Dafabet 2.06 3.65 3.45
Marathonbet 1.98 3.60 3.42
Pinnacle 2.02 3.83 3.53
SBO 1.98 3.22 2.99
William Hill 2.00 3.40 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.04
X 3.60 ▲ +0.12
2 3.42 ▲ +0.08

27 snapshots recorded, from .