Cambridge United
vs
Blackpool
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cambridge United
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Cambridge United vs Blackpool overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cambridge United vs Blackpool
| Probability | Cambridge United | Draw | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 23.7% | 23.0% |
| Market | 45.5% | 26.3% | 28.2% |
| Final | 47.4% | 25.7% | 26.9% |
| Edge | +7.8% | -2.5% | -5.3% |
Why Cambridge United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cambridge United below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Cambridge United vs Blackpool match preview
Cambridge United hosts Blackpool in this League One clash, with Cambridge holding a 47% probability of winning compared to Blackpool's 27%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Cambridge, with a 10% chance of occurrence. The match is expected to see more than 2.5 goals at a rate of 63%, and both teams are anticipated to score, with a probability of 62%.
In terms of recent form, Cambridge United has recorded two draws, a win, and a loss in their last five matches, while Blackpool has struggled, with only one win in their last five outings. Expected goals suggest that Cambridge will generate 1.98, while Blackpool is forecasted to score 1.25. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cambridge United and Blackpool expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Cambridge United and Blackpool attack and defence ratings
Cambridge United
Blackpool
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Huddersfield vs Sheffield Wednesday — team news & stats
- Leicester vs Peterborough
- Bradford v Leyton Orient — match page
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Burton Albion
- Wycombe v Luton — match page
- Stevenage vs Wigan — team news & stats
- Mansfield Town v Bromley — match page
Before and after this match
Cambridge United vs Blackpool markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambridge United | 47.4% | 2.11 | +7.8% | 2.07 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambridge United | 47.4% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Blackpool | 26.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% |
| No | 37.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cambridge United win | 31.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.7% |
Cambridge United vs Blackpool stats
Cambridge United and Blackpool recent form
| Cambridge United |
DDWDWL |
| Blackpool |
LDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cambridge United and Blackpool season so far
Cambridge United record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Blackpool record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Cambridge United vs Blackpool head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-11 | Blackpool | Cambridge United | League One | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Cambridge United | Blackpool | League One | 4-4 |
| 2024-04-06 | Blackpool | Cambridge United | League One | 1-0 |
| 2023-12-16 | Cambridge United | Blackpool | League One | 2-1 |
| 2017-01-14 | Cambridge United | Blackpool | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2016-10-08 | Blackpool | Cambridge United | League Two | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cambridge United vs Blackpool odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 26.3%, away 28.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.54 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.55 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.06 | 3.65 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.54 | 3.28 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 3.74 | 3.46 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 3.16 | 2.94 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .