Stockport County
vs
Leicester
3 – 4 Full time
| 11′ | Liam Cullen | ||
| 22′ | Jack Diamond | ||
| 30′ | Emil Riis Jakobsen | ||
| 36′ | Ethan Pye | ||
| 48′ | Emil Riis Jakobsen | ||
| 50′ | Louis Page | ||
| 52′ | John Lundstram | ||
| 57′ | Oliver Norwood | ||
| 61′ | Kyle Wootton | ||
| 63′ | Kyron Gordon | ||
| 71′ | Samuel Charles BraybrookeBobby Reid | ||
| 71′ | Harry WoodMikael Mandron | ||
| 71′ | Lewis BateJason Adigun | ||
| 76′ | Emil Riis JakobsenTom Watson | ||
| 79′ | Ryan GloverEthan Ennis | ||
| 79′ | Eoghan O'ConnellMamadou Jobe | ||
| 86′ | Warren O'HoraOlabade Aluko | ||
| 86′ | William Thomas-AlvesIlari Kangasniemi | ||
| 86′ | Liam CullenWes Burns | ||
| 87′ | Jack DiamondBenoný Breki Andrésson |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 435 | Accurate passes | 435 |
Stockport County vs Leicester overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stockport County vs Leicester
| Probability | Stockport County | Draw | Leicester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.7% | 20.5% | 11.8% |
| Market | 50.8% | 24.3% | 24.9% |
| Final | 55.1% | 23.3% | 21.6% |
| Edge | +16.9% | -3.8% | -13.1% |
Why Stockport County
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Stockport County below the model: +16.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stockport County and Leicester expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Stockport County and Leicester attack and defence ratings
Stockport County
Leicester
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stockport County vs Leicester: result vs prediction
Stockport County 3 – 4 Leicester
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stockport County vs Leicester markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 55.1% | 1.82 | +16.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stockport County | 55.1% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Leicester | 21.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stockport County win | 44.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 32.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.0% | |
| 1-1 | 9.8% |
Stockport County vs Leicester stats
Stockport County and Leicester recent form
| Stockport County |
WLWLWD |
| Leicester |
LWDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stockport County and Leicester going into this match
Stockport County record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
Leicester record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Stockport County vs Leicester head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-23 | Stockport County | Leicester | League Cup | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stockport County vs Leicester odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.3%, draw 24.7%, away 25.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.85 | 3.78 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.75 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.80 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.84 | 3.76 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 4.08 | 3.92 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.35 | 3.28 |
| Superbet | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| Unibet | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .