Leicester
vs
Oxford United
0 – 4 Full time
| 8′ | M. Harris | ||
| 34′ | Kai Andrews | ||
| 46′ | B. De Cordova-ReidK. Doyle | ||
| 49′ | Emil Riis Jacobsen | ||
| 56′ | W. BurnsH. Howell | ||
| 56′ | W. AlvesT. Watson | ||
| 57′ | M. Missanga | ||
| 59′ | C. McFarlaneO. Aluko | ||
| 60′ | M. Harris | ||
| 61′ | M. MissangaL. Lynch | ||
| 69′ | E. RiisA. Bristric | ||
| 70′ | S. DembeleT. Goodrham | ||
| 70′ | M. HarrisG. O'Donkor | ||
| 77′ | J. McDonnell | ||
| 81′ | C. BrannaganJ. Currie | ||
| 81′ | P. KiosoL. Sibley |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 458 | Accurate passes | 250 |
Leicester vs Oxford United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leicester vs Oxford United
| Probability | Leicester | Draw | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.1% | 30.4% | 24.5% |
| Market | 55.8% | 23.5% | 20.8% |
| Final | 53.1% | 25.2% | 21.7% |
| Edge | -10.7% | +6.9% | +3.8% |
Why Leicester
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.93.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leicester and Oxford United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Leicester and Oxford United attack and defence ratings
Leicester
Oxford United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Leicester vs Oxford United: result vs prediction
Leicester 0 – 4 Oxford United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Leicester vs Oxford United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leicester | 53.1% | 1.88 | -10.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leicester | 53.1% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Oxford United | 21.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.8% |
| No | 54.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leicester win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 55.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 12.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.7% |
Leicester vs Oxford United stats
Leicester and Oxford United recent form
| Leicester |
WDLLDW |
| Oxford United |
LWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leicester and Oxford United going into this match
Leicester record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Leicester vs Oxford United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Leicester | Oxford United | England Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Oxford United | Leicester | England Championship | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leicester vs Oxford United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.6%, draw 23.9%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 4.05 | 4.45 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.75 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.69 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 4.05 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.25 | 4.56 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.42 | 4.16 |
| Superbet | 1.68 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Unibet | 1.68 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .