Garuda Lions
Today
League One · Full time ·Matchday 5

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United

2 – 2 Full time

16′Dominic Ball
19′F. Delap
31′Sulyman Krubally
43′G. Ahadme
56′O. MoxonP. Mpanzu
57′I. HeathS. Kaikai
60′R. Borges RodriguesK. Adom
61′S. KruballyW. Collar
65′G. Ahadme
69′B. KnightR. Bangura-Williams
70′G. AhadmeL. Appere
74′F. DelapJ. Lewis
74′C. VickersZ. Scutt
90′Callum Perry
90′C. Tilt

Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon TrentReferee: E. Swallow

Burton Albion 36%
Draw 29%
Cambridge United 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
56 Possession % 44
2 Corners 7
12 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 1
0 Saves 1
294 Accurate passes 200

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Burton Albion vs Cambridge United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBurton AlbionDrawCambridge United
Model42.1%29.6%28.3%
Market34.6%28.8%36.6%
Final36.5%29.0%34.6%
Edge+7.5%+0.8%-8.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Burton Albion

  • The market prices Burton Albion below the model: +7.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Burton Albion ↓ / Cambridge Unit → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Burton Albion and Cambridge United expected goals

Burton Albion 1.36
Cambridge United 1.08

Total expected goals: 2.44

Burton Albion and Cambridge United attack and defence ratings

Burton Albion

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Cambridge United

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United: result vs prediction

Burton Albion 2 – 2 Cambridge United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Burton Albion 36.5% 2.74 +7.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.0% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.3% 1.99 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.0% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.2% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Burton Albion36.5%
Draw29.0%
Cambridge United34.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.0%
Under 2.556.0%
Both teams to scoreYes50.3%
No49.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.4%
12 (either side)71.0%
X2 (draw or away)63.5%
Handicap -1Burton Albion win20.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss58.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-010.6%
0-010.0%

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United stats

Burton Albion and Cambridge United recent form

newest first
Burton Albion WLWDLD
Cambridge United WLLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Burton Albion and Cambridge United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Burton Albion record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Cambridge United record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Burton Albion wins 2Draws 4Cambridge United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-04-26Burton AlbionCambridge UnitedLeague One2-1
2024-10-26Cambridge UnitedBurton AlbionLeague One1-0
2024-01-27Cambridge UnitedBurton AlbionLeague One0-0
2023-10-09Burton AlbionCambridge UnitedLeague One2-1
2023-05-03Burton AlbionCambridge UnitedLeague One1-0
2022-08-27Cambridge UnitedBurton AlbionLeague One4-3
2022-02-12Burton AlbionCambridge UnitedLeague One2-2
2021-08-21Cambridge UnitedBurton AlbionLeague One3-0
2020-10-06Burton AlbionCambridge UnitedEFL Trophy2-4
2015-05-02Cambridge UnitedBurton AlbionLeague Two2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.6%, draw 28.8%, away 36.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.62 3.30 2.62
1xBet 2.69 3.24 2.55
Bet365 2.70 3.25 2.50
BetVictor 2.75 3.25 2.55
Betano 2.75 3.25 2.50
Betfair 2.63 3.20 2.70
Dafabet 2.80 3.35 2.50
Marathonbet 2.69 3.24 2.55
Pinnacle 2.79 3.32 2.64
SBO 2.53 2.91 2.32
Superbet 2.77 3.25 2.50
Unibet 2.50 3.35 2.70
William Hill 2.70 3.10 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▲ +0.30
X 3.25 ▼ -0.05
2 2.55 ▼ -0.26

12 snapshots recorded, from .