Cambridge United
vs
Reading
2 – 1 Full time
| 38′ | Jack Marriott | ||
| 45′ | Raees Bangura-WilliamsShayne Lavery | ||
| 45′ | Owen MoxonPelly Ruddock Mpanzu | ||
| 52′ | Liam bennett | ||
| 62′ | Kelland Watts | ||
| 66′ | Gassan Ahadme | ||
| 72′ | Kyreece Joshua LisbieRandell Williams | ||
| 72′ | Jack MarriottJacob Brown | ||
| 78′ | Haydon RobertsJamie Reid | ||
| 78′ | Andy RinomhotaCharlie Savage | ||
| 80′ | Callum Perry | ||
| 85′ | Gassan AhadmeSam Curtis | ||
| 85′ | Callum PerryZak·Bradshaw | ||
| 90′ | Randell Williams | ||
| 90′ | Ben KnightLouis Appere |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 226 | Accurate passes | 306 |
Cambridge United vs Reading overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cambridge United vs Reading
| Probability | Cambridge United | Draw | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.6% | 27.9% | 37.5% |
| Market | 35.5% | 28.3% | 36.3% |
| Final | 35.2% | 28.2% | 36.6% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -0.3% | +1.2% |
Why Reading
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cambridge United and Reading expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Cambridge United and Reading attack and defence ratings
Cambridge United
Reading
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cambridge United vs Reading: result vs prediction
Cambridge United 2 – 1 Reading
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cambridge United vs Reading markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reading | 36.6% | 2.73 | +1.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambridge United | 35.2% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Reading | 36.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Reading win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 62.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Cambridge United vs Reading stats
Cambridge United and Reading recent form
| Cambridge United |
DWLLDW |
| Reading |
WWWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cambridge United and Reading going into this match
Cambridge United record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Cambridge United vs Reading head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-01 | Cambridge United | Reading | League One | 1-3 |
| 2024-12-03 | Reading | Cambridge United | League One | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-16 | Reading | Cambridge United | League One | 4-0 |
| 2023-09-04 | Cambridge United | Reading | League One | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cambridge United vs Reading odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 28.3%, away 35.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.52 | 3.30 | 2.68 |
| 1xBet | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.57 |
| 888Sport | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.57 |
| Pinnacle | 2.70 | 3.49 | 2.62 |
| SBO | 2.46 | 3.00 | 2.43 |
| Superbet | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .