Reading
vs
Brentford
1 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | Callum Wilson | ||
| 45′ | Fabio Carvalho | ||
| 45′ | Mamadou SangareYehor Yarmoliuk | ||
| 61′ | El Hadji Malick DioufJannik Schuster | ||
| 63′ | Haydon RobertsP. Lane | ||
| 63′ | Jamie ReidJacob Brown | ||
| 72′ | Paudie O’Connor | ||
| 77′ | Fabio CarvalhoAaron Hickey | ||
| 77′ | Callum WilsonIgor Thiago | ||
| 77′ | Dango OuattaraJaidon Anthony | ||
| 79′ | Daniel·KyerewaaKyreece Joshua Lisbie | ||
| 79′ | Paudie O’ConnorJeriel Dorsett | ||
| 88′ | Josh StokesGeorge Earthy |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 7 | Saves | 2 |
| 188 | Accurate passes | 593 |
Reading vs Brentford overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Reading vs Brentford
| Probability | Reading | Draw | Brentford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.6% | 23.1% | 34.3% |
| Market | 8.7% | 15.1% | 76.2% |
| Final | 17.2% | 17.1% | 65.7% |
| Edge | +34.0% | +8.0% | -41.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Reading and Brentford expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.70
Reading and Brentford attack and defence ratings
Reading
Brentford
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Reading vs Brentford: result vs prediction
Reading 1 – 2 Brentford
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Reading vs Brentford markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brentford | 65.7% | 1.52 | -41.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reading | 17.2% |
| Draw | 17.1% | |
| Brentford | 65.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.0% |
| No | 28.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brentford win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 65.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Reading vs Brentford stats
Reading vs Brentford head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-10 | Reading | Brentford | Championship | 1-3 |
| 2020-12-19 | Brentford | Reading | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2020-06-30 | Reading | Brentford | Championship | 0-3 |
| 2019-11-23 | Brentford | Reading | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2019-04-13 | Reading | Brentford | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2018-09-29 | Brentford | Reading | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2018-01-20 | Reading | Brentford | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2017-09-16 | Brentford | Reading | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2017-02-14 | Reading | Brentford | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2016-09-27 | Brentford | Reading | Championship | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Reading vs Brentford odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.1%, draw 15.9%, away 75.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 8.70 | 5.40 | 1.30 |
| 1xBet | 11.50 | 6.40 | 1.25 |
| 888Sport | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Bet365 | 11.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| BetVictor | 11.50 | 6.50 | 1.22 |
| Betano | 10.50 | 6.50 | 1.29 |
| Betfair | 11.00 | 6.00 | 1.22 |
| Marathonbet | 11.50 | 6.30 | 1.25 |
| Pinnacle | 9.27 | 6.30 | 1.28 |
| SBO | 8.10 | 5.70 | 1.25 |
| Unibet | 7.00 | 5.25 | 1.36 |
| William Hill | 10.00 | 5.80 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .