Stevenage
vs
Wigan
1 – 0 Full time
| 28′ | Finley Burns | ||
| 53′ | Charlie Gray | ||
| 60′ | Wanya Marcal | ||
| 64′ | Jeremiah Chilokoa-MullenFraser Murray | ||
| 64′ | Bradley BurrowesReggie Walsh | ||
| 66′ | O. SandersonBen Broggio | ||
| 66′ | Matthew SmithLouis Thompson | ||
| 69′ | Reggie Walsh | ||
| 79′ | Wanya MarcalPhoenix Patterson | ||
| 79′ | Josh MagennisMichael Mellon | ||
| 85′ | Jensen WeirArchie Harris | ||
| 85′ | Jon MellishSonny Tufail Perkins | ||
| 90′ | James Carragher |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 229 | Accurate passes | 396 |
Stevenage vs Wigan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stevenage vs Wigan
| Probability | Stevenage | Draw | Wigan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.0% | 29.6% | 18.4% |
| Market | 44.4% | 29.0% | 26.6% |
| Final | 46.3% | 29.1% | 24.6% |
| Edge | +1.9% | +0.2% | -2.1% |
Why Stevenage
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stevenage and Wigan expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Stevenage and Wigan attack and defence ratings
Stevenage
Wigan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stevenage vs Wigan: result vs prediction
Stevenage 1 – 0 Wigan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stevenage vs Wigan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stevenage | 46.3% | 2.16 | +1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stevenage | 46.3% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Wigan | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.1% |
| No | 58.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stevenage win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 48.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.1% |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 12.7% |
Stevenage vs Wigan stats
Stevenage and Wigan recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stevenage and Wigan going into this match
Stevenage record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Wigan record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
Stevenage vs Wigan head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Stevenage | Wigan | League One | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Wigan | Stevenage | League One | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Stevenage | Wigan | League One | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-24 | Wigan | Stevenage | League One | 0-0 |
| 2024-01-27 | Wigan | Stevenage | League One | 2-3 |
| 2023-10-07 | Stevenage | Wigan | League One | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stevenage vs Wigan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 29.0%, away 26.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.22 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.35 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.22 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.35 | 3.71 |
| SBO | 2.03 | 3.00 | 3.09 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .