Burton Albion
vs
Leyton Orient
Garuda Lions Prediction: Leyton Orient
0 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient
| Probability | Burton Albion | Draw | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 28.6% | 37.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.1% | 28.6% | 37.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Leyton Orient
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient match preview
Burton Albion faces Leyton Orient in an upcoming League One match, with the probabilities indicating a close contest. Burton Albion has a 34% chance of winning, while Leyton Orient holds a slight edge at 37%. The most likely scoreline suggested by the model is 0-1, occurring with an 8% probability. Expected goals are closely matched, with Burton Albion at 1.29 and Leyton Orient at 1.35.
In terms of recent form, Burton Albion has recorded a mixed bag with two draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Leyton Orient has experienced a similar trend with two wins and four losses. The head-to-head record shows Leyton Orient with one win and one draw against Burton Albion in their last two encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Burton Albion and Leyton Orient expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Burton Albion and Leyton Orient attack and defence ratings
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Reading vs Barnsley — team news & stats
- AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe — match page
- Oxford United vs Bradford — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday
- Blackpool v Mansfield Town — match page
- Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons — team news & stats
- Cambridge United vs Plymouth
- Notts County v Stockport County — match page
Before and after this match
Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leyton Orient | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Burton Albion | 34.1% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Leyton Orient | 37.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% |
| No | 45.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leyton Orient win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.4% |
Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient stats
Burton Albion and Leyton Orient recent form
| Burton Albion |
DLLWDL |
| Leyton Orient |
WDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Burton Albion and Leyton Orient season so far
Burton Albion record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Leyton Orient record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Leyton Orient | Burton Albion | League One | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-29 | Burton Albion | Leyton Orient | League One | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.