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League One · Full time ·Matchday 12

Reading vs Leyton Orient

1 – 0 Full time

14′Josh Stokes
48′Paudie O’Connor
49′Aaron Connolly
52′P. Lane
62′Dane ScarlettJaze Kabia
62′Joseph OlowuCharlie Wellens
72′Yusuf AkhamrichArmando Dobra
73′Josh StokesCharlie Savage
73′Jamie ReidJacob Brown
85′Aaron ConnollyTony Springett
90′Kyreece Joshua LisbieDaniel·Kyerewaa
90′P. LaneRandell Williams

Madejski Stadium, Reading

Reading 62%
Draw 22%
Leyton Orient 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 8
40 Possession % 60
3 Corners 6
7 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2
8 Saves 1
260 Accurate passes 421

Reading vs Leyton Orient overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Reading vs Leyton Orient

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReadingDrawLeyton Orient
Model52.7%26.3%21.1%
Market64.6%21.0%14.4%
Final61.7%22.3%16.0%
Edge-3.0%+1.3%+1.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Reading

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.00.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Reading ↓ / Leyton Orient → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 13% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Reading and Leyton Orient expected goals

Reading 1.70
Leyton Orient 1.00

Total expected goals: 2.71

Reading and Leyton Orient attack and defence ratings

Reading

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Leyton Orient

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Reading vs Leyton Orient: result vs prediction

Reading 1 – 0 Leyton Orient

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Reading vs Leyton Orient markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Reading 61.7% 1.62 -3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.8% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.0% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.3% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Reading61.7%
Draw22.3%
Leyton Orient16.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.8%
Under 2.549.2%
Both teams to scoreYes53.0%
No47.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.0%
12 (either side)77.7%
X2 (draw or away)38.3%
Handicap -1Reading win29.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss47.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-010.2%
2-19.7%

Reading vs Leyton Orient stats

Reading and Leyton Orient recent form

newest first
Reading LWDDWL
Leyton Orient WDLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Reading and Leyton Orient going into this match

league record before kick-off

Reading record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Leyton Orient record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.

Reading vs Leyton Orient head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Reading wins 1Draws 4Leyton Orient wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-17Leyton OrientReadingLeague One3-1
2025-09-20ReadingLeyton OrientLeague One2-1
2025-01-25Leyton OrientReadingLeague One2-0
2024-09-14ReadingLeyton OrientLeague One0-1
2024-01-27ReadingLeyton OrientLeague One1-1
2023-10-07Leyton OrientReadingLeague One2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Reading vs Leyton Orient odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 64.6%, draw 21.0%, away 14.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.45 4.40 6.52
Bet365 1.53 4.10 5.50
BetVictor 1.44 4.60 6.50
Betano 1.47 4.50 5.80
Betfair 1.40 4.50 7.00
Dafabet 1.47 4.70 6.40
Marathonbet 1.44 4.40 6.50
Pinnacle 1.46 4.54 7.29
SBO 1.39 4.20 5.90
William Hill 1.44 4.00 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.44 ▼ -0.08
X 4.45 ▲ +0.20
2 6.50 ▲ +1.15

8 snapshots recorded, from .