Cambridge United
vs
Plymouth
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cambridge United
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Cambridge United vs Plymouth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cambridge United vs Plymouth
| Probability | Cambridge United | Draw | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.5% | 27.3% | 27.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.5% | 27.3% | 27.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cambridge United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 1.18.
Cambridge United vs Plymouth match preview
Cambridge United hosts Plymouth in a League One clash with Cambridge having a 45% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, with a 9% chance of occurring. Both teams have shown attacking potential, as evidenced by the expected goals, with Cambridge at 1.58 and Plymouth at 1.18.
Recent form indicates a mixed bag for both teams, with Cambridge United recording two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches, while Plymouth has three wins and three losses in the same timeframe. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 52%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 56%, suggesting an engaging matchup is on the horizon.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cambridge United and Plymouth expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Cambridge United and Plymouth attack and defence ratings
Cambridge United
Plymouth
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Reading vs Barnsley — team news & stats
- Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient
- AFC Wimbledon v Wycombe — match page
- Oxford United vs Bradford — team news & stats
- Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday
- Blackpool v Mansfield Town — match page
- Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons — team news & stats
- Notts County v Stockport County — match page
Before and after this match
Cambridge United vs Plymouth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambridge United | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambridge United | 45.5% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Plymouth | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cambridge United win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 54.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |
Cambridge United vs Plymouth stats
Cambridge United and Plymouth recent form
| Cambridge United |
WWDDWD |
| Plymouth |
LWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cambridge United and Plymouth season so far
Cambridge United record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Plymouth record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.