League One
·
Full time
·Matchday 13
Cambridge United
vs
Plymouth
2 – 3 Full time
| 12′ | Alex Mitchell | ||
| 14′ | Sullay Kaikai | ||
| 29′ | Tyreeq Bakinson | ||
| 41′ | Louis Appere | ||
| 50′ | Xavier Amaechi | ||
| 57′ | Sullay Kaikai | ||
| 61′ | Raees Bangura-WilliamsShayne Lavery | ||
| 62′ | George HoddleOwen Moxon | ||
| 68′ | Xavier AmaechiCaleb Watts | ||
| 74′ | Aribim Pepple | ||
| 78′ | Jack MackenzieAlex·Hartridge | ||
| 80′ | Pelly Ruddock MpanzuCallum stead | ||
| 82′ | Matthew SorinolaJoe Edwards | ||
| 83′ | Tyreeq BakinsonBradley Ibrahim | ||
| 86′ | Shayne Lavery | ||
| 90′ | Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews |
Cambridge United
42%
Draw
26%
Plymouth
32%
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 13 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 228 | Accurate passes | 136 |
Cambridge United vs Plymouth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cambridge United vs Plymouth
| Probability | Cambridge United | Draw | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 24.8% | 21.9% |
| Market | 38.5% | 26.5% | 35.0% |
| Final | 42.2% | 26.1% | 31.7% |
| Edge | +3.7% | -0.4% | -3.3% |
Why Cambridge United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.13.
- The market prices Cambridge United below our published probability: +3.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
57%
No goals
6%
Cambridge United and Plymouth expected goals
Cambridge United
1.85
Plymouth
1.13
Total expected goals: 2.98
Cambridge United and Plymouth attack and defence ratings
Cambridge United
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Plymouth
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cambridge United vs Plymouth: result vs prediction
Cambridge United 2 – 3 Plymouth
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cambridge United vs Plymouth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambridge United | 42.2% | 2.37 | +3.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cambridge United | 42.2% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Plymouth | 31.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% |
| No | 41.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cambridge United win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
Cambridge United vs Plymouth stats
Cambridge United and Plymouth recent form
| Cambridge United |
DWWDDW |
| Plymouth |
LLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cambridge United and Plymouth going into this match
Cambridge United record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Plymouth record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cambridge United vs Plymouth head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Cambridge United wins
4Draws
3Plymouth wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-22 | Plymouth | Cambridge United | League One | 3-1 |
| 2022-12-10 | Cambridge United | Plymouth | League One | 0-0 |
| 2022-02-22 | Cambridge United | Plymouth | League One | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-17 | Plymouth | Cambridge United | League One | 1-1 |
| 2020-02-22 | Plymouth | Cambridge United | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2019-12-07 | Cambridge United | Plymouth | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2017-02-04 | Cambridge United | Plymouth | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2016-09-10 | Plymouth | Cambridge United | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2016-04-30 | Cambridge United | Plymouth | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2015-12-12 | Plymouth | Cambridge United | League Two | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cambridge United vs Plymouth odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.7%, draw 26.6%, away 34.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.56 | 2.71 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.48 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.56 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 2.48 | 3.67 | 2.75 |
| SBO | 2.22 | 3.16 | 2.48 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.45 ▼ -0.07
X
3.56 ▲ +0.07
2
2.70 ▲ +0.16
9 snapshots recorded, from .