League One · Full time ·Matchday 12

Cambridge United vs Wycombe

2 – 2 Full time

44′Jayden Wareham
51′Jayden Wareham
59′Sam CurtisLouis Appere
59′Gassan AhadmeShayne Lavery
61′Jayden Wareham
62′Aaron MorleyJosh Scowen
66′Daniel Harvie
68′George HoddleOwen Moxon
68′Pelly Ruddock MpanzuRaees Bangura-Williams
74′Caolan Boyd-MunceEwan Henderson
78′Shayne Lavery
84′Raees Bangura-Williams
85′Jayden WarehamCauley Woodrow
90′Connor Taylor
90′Ewan Henderson

Abbey Stadium, Cambridge

Cambridge United 44%
Draw 26%
Wycombe 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
52 Possession % 48
12 Corners 9
8 Fouls 15
0 Saves 4
252 Accurate passes 203

Cambridge United vs Wycombe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cambridge United vs Wycombe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCambridge UnitedDrawWycombe
Model59.2%21.8%19.0%
Market39.5%27.1%33.4%
Final44.4%25.8%29.8%
Edge+4.9%-1.3%-3.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Cambridge United

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.19.
  • The market prices Cambridge United below our published probability: +4.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cambridge Unit ↓ / Wycombe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 5% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Cambridge United and Wycombe expected goals

Cambridge United 2.19
Wycombe 1.19

Total expected goals: 3.38

Cambridge United and Wycombe attack and defence ratings

Cambridge United

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Wycombe

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cambridge United vs Wycombe: result vs prediction

Cambridge United 2 – 2 Wycombe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Cambridge United vs Wycombe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cambridge United 44.4% 2.25 +4.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.6% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.7% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.8% 2.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cambridge United44.4%
Draw25.8%
Wycombe29.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.6%
Under 2.534.4%
Both teams to scoreYes62.7%
No37.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.2%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)55.6%
Handicap -1Cambridge United win37.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss40.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
2-19.7%
2-08.2%

Cambridge United vs Wycombe stats

Cambridge United and Wycombe recent form

newest first
Cambridge United WWDDWD
Wycombe WLDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cambridge United and Wycombe going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cambridge United record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wycombe record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cambridge United vs Wycombe head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Cambridge United wins 4Draws 5Wycombe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-02-01Cambridge UnitedWycombeLeague One1-1
2024-09-21WycombeCambridge UnitedLeague One2-1
2024-04-23Cambridge UnitedWycombeLeague One1-1
2023-10-31WycombeCambridge UnitedLeague One0-0
2023-04-18Cambridge UnitedWycombeLeague One1-2
2022-10-25WycombeCambridge UnitedLeague One2-3
2022-04-05Cambridge UnitedWycombeLeague One1-4
2022-03-01WycombeCambridge UnitedLeague One3-0
2018-03-10WycombeCambridge UnitedLeague Two1-1
2017-10-07Cambridge UnitedWycombeLeague Two1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cambridge United vs Wycombe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.5%, draw 27.1%, away 33.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.36 3.44 2.81
Bet365 2.40 3.40 2.75
BetVictor 2.38 3.50 2.80
Betano 2.40 3.45 2.77
Betfair 2.30 3.70 2.80
Dafabet 2.41 3.55 2.85
Marathonbet 2.34 3.44 2.80
Pinnacle 2.43 3.59 2.87
SBO 2.23 3.22 2.70
William Hill 2.30 3.30 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.37 ▲ +0.15
X 3.45 ▼ -0.05
2 2.80 ▼ -0.20

11 snapshots recorded, from .