League One · Full time ·Matchday 11

Wycombe vs Notts County

2 – 0 Full time

22′Jack Grimmer
44′Max Sanders
45′Lucas NessIshé Samuels-Smith
61′Max SandersScott Robertson
62′Jack EvansConor·Grant
62′lee ndlovuD. Kanu
62′Rory FinneranMatt Palmer
70′Jamie MullinsJunior Quitirna
77′Scott Robertson
83′Cauley WoodrowEwan Henderson
86′Fred Onyedinma
89′Caolan Boyd-MunceLuke Leahy
90′James Gibbons

Adams Park, High Wycombe

Wycombe 46%
Draw 26%
Notts County 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 0
54 Possession % 46
9 Corners 3
18 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 2
0 Saves 2
366 Accurate passes 321

Wycombe vs Notts County overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wycombe vs Notts County

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWycombeDrawNotts County
Model39.6%26.2%34.2%
Market48.1%26.4%25.4%
Final46.0%26.4%27.6%
Edge-8.5%-0.2%+8.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Wycombe

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wycombe ↓ / Notts County → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Wycombe and Notts County expected goals

Wycombe 1.59
Notts County 1.46

Total expected goals: 3.05

Wycombe and Notts County attack and defence ratings

Wycombe

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.54 +54%

Notts County

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wycombe vs Notts County: result vs prediction

Wycombe 2 – 0 Notts County

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Wycombe vs Notts County markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wycombe 46.0% 2.17 -8.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.9% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.3% 1.60 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.4% 1.66 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wycombe46.0%
Draw26.4%
Notts County27.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.9%
Under 2.541.1%
Both teams to scoreYes62.3%
No37.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.4%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)54.0%
Handicap -1Wycombe win20.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss60.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-18.7%
1-28.0%

Wycombe vs Notts County stats

Wycombe and Notts County recent form

newest first
Wycombe LDWWDL
Notts County LLLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wycombe and Notts County going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wycombe record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Notts County record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Wycombe vs Notts County head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Wycombe wins 4Draws 4Notts County wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-07-13Notts CountyWycombeFriendlies Clubs1-0
2018-03-30Notts CountyWycombeLeague Two0-0
2017-08-19WycombeNotts CountyLeague Two2-4
2017-03-25WycombeNotts CountyLeague Two0-1
2016-12-10Notts CountyWycombeLeague Two0-2
2016-03-28Notts CountyWycombeLeague Two0-0
2015-12-15WycombeNotts CountyLeague Two2-2
2012-04-28WycombeNotts CountyLeague One3-4
2011-11-05Notts CountyWycombeLeague One1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wycombe vs Notts County odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 26.6%, away 25.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.94 3.54 3.68
Bet365 1.90 3.40 4.00
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.60
Betano 1.95 3.40 3.75
Betfair 2.00 3.70 3.60
Dafabet 2.02 3.50 3.70
Marathonbet 1.92 3.54 3.68
Pinnacle 1.98 3.65 3.82
SBO 1.93 3.02 3.12
William Hill 1.95 3.30 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.94 ▼ -0.08
X 3.54 ▲ +0.10
2 3.68 ▲ +0.26

13 snapshots recorded, from .