Sheffield Wednesday
vs
AFC Wimbledon
5 – 0 Full time
| 38′ | Barry Bannan | ||
| 39′ | Davis Keillor-Dunn | ||
| 45′ | Harry Gray | ||
| 45′ | Aron SasuMarcus Browne | ||
| 45′ | Callum MaycockJames Tilley | ||
| 49′ | Reece James | ||
| 56′ | Callum Slattery | ||
| 60′ | Jaden Heskey | ||
| 61′ | Barry BannanBilly Mitchell | ||
| 62′ | Jamal LoweAli Al-Hamadi | ||
| 62′ | Liam CooperGabriel·Otegbayo | ||
| 65′ | Ollie HarrisonZack Nelson | ||
| 70′ | Andy Yiadom | ||
| 73′ | Jayden StockleyHarry Cornick | ||
| 74′ | Di'Shon BernardMax Lowe | ||
| 81′ | Harry GrayKieran Morrison | ||
| 85′ | Davis Keillor-Dunn |
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 6 |
| 423 | Accurate passes | 290 |
Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon
| Probability | Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.6% | 27.4% | 15.0% |
| Market | 56.6% | 23.5% | 20.0% |
| Final | 56.8% | 24.4% | 18.7% |
| Edge | +1.0% | +3.9% | -4.9% |
Why Sheffield Wednesday
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sheffield Wednesday and AFC Wimbledon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Sheffield Wednesday and AFC Wimbledon attack and defence ratings
Sheffield Wednesday
AFC Wimbledon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon: result vs prediction
Sheffield Wednesday 5 – 0 AFC Wimbledon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 56.8% | 1.76 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 56.8% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| AFC Wimbledon | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.7% |
| No | 59.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sheffield Wednesday win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.9% | |
| Loss | 42.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.2% |
| 2-0 | 12.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.4% |
Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon stats
Sheffield Wednesday and AFC Wimbledon recent form
| Sheffield Wednesday |
DDDWWW |
| AFC Wimbledon |
LDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sheffield Wednesday and AFC Wimbledon going into this match
Sheffield Wednesday record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AFC Wimbledon record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-02 | Sheffield Wednesday | AFC Wimbledon | League One | 2-1 |
| 2021-10-16 | AFC Wimbledon | Sheffield Wednesday | League One | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.6%, draw 23.5%, away 20.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.98 | 4.56 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.95 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.98 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 4.26 | 4.80 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.49 | 4.13 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .