Barnsley
vs
Milton Keynes Dons
Garuda Lions Prediction: Barnsley
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Barnsley vs Milton Keynes Dons overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barnsley vs Milton Keynes Dons
| Probability | Barnsley | Draw | Milton Keynes Dons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.1% | 26.5% | 35.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.1% | 26.5% | 35.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Barnsley
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.49, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barnsley and Milton Keynes Dons expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.01
Barnsley and Milton Keynes Dons attack and defence ratings
Barnsley
Milton Keynes Dons
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Barnsley vs Milton Keynes Dons markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnsley | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | 2.49 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnsley | 38.1% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 35.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% |
| No | 38.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barnsley win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 61.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Barnsley vs Milton Keynes Dons stats
Barnsley and Milton Keynes Dons recent form
| Barnsley |
DDLLWW |
| Milton Keynes Dons |
DDDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Barnsley and Milton Keynes Dons season so far
Barnsley record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Milton Keynes Dons record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barnsley vs Milton Keynes Dons head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Barnsley vs Milton Keynes Dons odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 25.5%, away 36.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.43 | 3.62 | 2.58 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.70 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.80 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 3.55 | 2.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49 | 3.76 | 2.57 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .