England FA Cup · Full time ·1/128-finals

Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield

3 – 0 Full time

21′Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh
30′George Maris
50′Nathan Daniel Moriah-Welsh
56′P. DawsonSam Heathcote
73′Rhys Oates
74′george wilsonAdan George
76′George MarisElliott Hewitt
83′Rhys OatesKyle Knoyle
83′Michael SmithTyler Roberts
86′J. KayTheo Chapman
86′Regan·HendryOllie Taylor
87′Stephen McLaughlinOwen Joel Dodgson
90′Jordan Bowery

Field Mill, Mansfield

Mansfield Town 58%
Draw 20%
Macclesfield 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
55 Possession % 45
9 Corners 5
8 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
4 Saves 3

Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMansfield TownDrawMacclesfield
Model26.8%26.4%46.8%
Market68.4%18.4%13.2%
Final58.0%20.4%21.6%
Edge-10.4%+2.0%+8.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mansfield Town ↓ / Macclesfield → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 8% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Mansfield Town and Macclesfield expected goals

Mansfield Town 1.22
Macclesfield 1.67

Total expected goals: 2.89

Mansfield Town and Macclesfield attack and defence ratings

Mansfield Town

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Macclesfield

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield: result vs prediction

Mansfield Town 3 – 0 Macclesfield

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

England FA Cup

Before and after this match

Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mansfield Town 58.0% 1.72 -10.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.3% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.4% 1.71 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.6% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.2% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mansfield Town58.0%
Draw20.4%
Macclesfield21.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.3%
Under 2.544.7%
Both teams to scoreYes58.4%
No41.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.4%
12 (either side)79.6%
X2 (draw or away)42.0%
Handicap -1Mansfield Town win11.5%
Push (exactly one goal)15.3%
Loss73.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
1-29.5%
0-18.1%

Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield stats

Mansfield Town and Macclesfield recent form

newest first
Mansfield Town DLWWDW
Macclesfield WDWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mansfield Town and Macclesfield going into this match

league record before kick-off

Macclesfield record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

4Mansfield Town wins 2Draws 0Macclesfield wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-07-12MacclesfieldMansfield TownFriendlies Clubs0-2
2019-11-16MacclesfieldMansfield TownLeague Two0-0
2019-02-02Mansfield TownMacclesfieldLeague Two3-1
2018-08-25MacclesfieldMansfield TownLeague Two1-1
2013-04-09Mansfield TownMacclesfieldNational League3-1
2012-11-20MacclesfieldMansfield TownNational League0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 68.4%, draw 18.4%, away 13.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.34 5.15 7.65
Bet365 1.40 5.00 6.50
BetVictor 1.33 4.75 7.00
Betano 1.39 4.80 6.60
Betfair 1.33 5.00 7.00
Dafabet 1.40 5.40 7.20
Marathonbet 1.33 5.15 7.70
Pinnacle 1.35 5.46 7.35
SBO 1.32 4.26 5.99
William Hill 1.35 4.80 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.35 ▲ +0.01
X 5.00 —
2 7.00 ▼ -0.18

3 snapshots recorded, from .