League One Β· Β·Matchday 12

Bromley vs Leicester

Garuda Lions Prediction: Leicester

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

Hayes Lane, London

Bromley 26%
Draw 24%
Leicester 50%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Leicester wins
50%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
62%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Bromley vs Leicester overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bromley vs Leicester

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBromleyDrawLeicester
Model33.3%26.3%40.5%
Market23.3%23.3%53.4%
Final25.8%24.0%50.2%
Edge+10.0%+2.9%-12.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Leicester

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.79, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Bromley vs Leicester match preview

Bromley faces Leicester in League One with a probability of 28% for a Bromley win, while Leicester is favored at 49% to secure the victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at an 8% likelihood. Both teams show a tendency to score, with our model indicating a 65% chance for both teams to find the net and a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match.

In terms of expected goals, Bromley is forecasted to achieve 1.65, while Leicester is slightly lower at 1.57. Recent form shows Bromley struggling with three losses in their last six matches, while Leicester has a mixed record with two wins and two draws in their last six outings. The confidence grade for this match stands at C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bromley ↓ / Leicester β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Bromley and Leicester expected goals

Bromley 1.44
Leicester 1.60

Total expected goals: 3.04

Bromley and Leicester attack and defence ratings

Bromley

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Leicester

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

League One

Before and after this match

Bromley vs Leicester markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Leicester 50.2% 1.99 -12.9% 1.79
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.5% 1.71 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 61.9% 1.61 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.0% 1.32 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 59.5% 1.68 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bromley25.8%
Draw24.0%
Leicester50.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.5%
Under 2.541.5%
Both teams to scoreYes61.9%
No38.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.8%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)74.2%
Handicap -1Leicester win21.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss59.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%

Bromley vs Leicester stats

Bromley and Leicester recent form

newest first
Bromley LLWDLL
Leicester WLDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bromley and Leicester season so far

league record

Bromley record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Leicester record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bromley vs Leicester head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Bromley vs Leicester odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.3%, draw 23.3%, away 53.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
Dafabet 4.10 4.10 1.79

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.10 β–² +0.15
X 4.10 β–² +0.10
2 1.79 β–² +0.02

5 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Leicester Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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