Bromley
vs
Leicester
Garuda Lions Prediction: Leicester
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
Bromley vs Leicester overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bromley vs Leicester
| Probability | Bromley | Draw | Leicester |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.3% | 26.3% | 40.5% |
| Market | 23.3% | 23.3% | 53.4% |
| Final | 25.8% | 24.0% | 50.2% |
| Edge | +10.0% | +2.9% | -12.9% |
Why Leicester
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.79, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bromley vs Leicester match preview
Bromley faces Leicester in League One with a probability of 28% for a Bromley win, while Leicester is favored at 49% to secure the victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at an 8% likelihood. Both teams show a tendency to score, with our model indicating a 65% chance for both teams to find the net and a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of expected goals, Bromley is forecasted to achieve 1.65, while Leicester is slightly lower at 1.57. Recent form shows Bromley struggling with three losses in their last six matches, while Leicester has a mixed record with two wins and two draws in their last six outings. The confidence grade for this match stands at C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bromley and Leicester expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Bromley and Leicester attack and defence ratings
Bromley
Leicester
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bromley vs Leicester markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leicester | 50.2% | 1.99 | -12.9% | 1.79 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% | 1.61 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bromley | 25.8% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Leicester | 50.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% |
| No | 38.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leicester win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Bromley vs Leicester stats
Bromley and Leicester recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bromley and Leicester season so far
Bromley record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leicester record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bromley vs Leicester head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Bromley vs Leicester odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.3%, draw 23.3%, away 53.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 4.10 | 1.79 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .