Wimborne Town
vs
Chelmsford City
1 – 0 Full time
Wimborne Town vs Chelmsford City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wimborne Town vs Chelmsford City
| Probability | Wimborne Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 27.3% | 37.9% |
| Market | 24.4% | 25.2% | 50.3% |
| Final | 27.0% | 25.7% | 47.2% |
| Edge | +10.4% | +2.0% | -12.4% |
Why Chelmsford City
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wimborne Town and Chelmsford City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.87
Wimborne Town and Chelmsford City attack and defence ratings
Wimborne Town
Chelmsford City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wimborne Town vs Chelmsford City: result vs prediction
Wimborne Town 1 – 0 Chelmsford City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 4th Round Qualifying fixtures
Before and after this match
Wimborne Town vs Chelmsford City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chelmsford City | 47.2% | 2.12 | -12.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wimborne Town | 27.0% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Chelmsford City | 47.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chelmsford City win | 18.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 62.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Wimborne Town vs Chelmsford City stats
Wimborne Town and Chelmsford City recent form
| Wimborne Town |
WDDWDL |
| Chelmsford City |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wimborne Town and Chelmsford City going into this match
Wimborne Town record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Wimborne Town vs Chelmsford City head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Wimborne Town vs Chelmsford City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.4%, draw 25.2%, away 50.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.74 | 3.56 | 1.79 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.66 | 3.56 | 1.77 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .