Crawley Town
vs
Fleetwood Town
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fleetwood Town
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Crawley Town vs Fleetwood Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Crawley Town vs Fleetwood Town
| Probability | Crawley Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.5% | 27.5% | 41.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.5% | 27.5% | 41.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Fleetwood Town
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Crawley Town vs Fleetwood Town match preview
Crawley Town faces Fleetwood Town in a League Two matchup with both teams showing mixed recent form. Crawley Town's last five matches include two draws and three losses, while Fleetwood Town has secured two wins in their last five, alongside two losses and a draw. According to our model, Crawley Town has a 31% chance of winning, while Fleetwood Town is favored with a 41% probability. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-2 in favor of Fleetwood.
The expected goals for Crawley Town stand at 1.29, compared to Fleetwood Town's 1.50. There is a 53% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams scoring has a 58% probability. In their last two encounters, Crawley Town and Fleetwood Town each have one win, indicating a competitive fixture ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Crawley Town and Fleetwood Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Crawley Town and Fleetwood Town attack and defence ratings
Crawley Town
Fleetwood Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Crawley Town vs Fleetwood Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fleetwood Town | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crawley Town | 31.5% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Fleetwood Town | 41.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fleetwood Town win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 59.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 8.0% |
Crawley Town vs Fleetwood Town stats
Crawley Town and Fleetwood Town recent form
| Crawley Town |
LWDLLD |
| Fleetwood Town |
LWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Crawley Town and Fleetwood Town season so far
Crawley Town record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Fleetwood Town record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Crawley Town vs Fleetwood Town head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Fleetwood Town | Crawley Town | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Crawley Town | Fleetwood Town | League Two | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.