Accrington ST
vs
Salford City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Accrington ST
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Accrington ST vs Salford City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Accrington ST vs Salford City
| Probability | Accrington ST | Draw | Salford City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.4% | 28.3% | 35.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.4% | 28.3% | 35.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Accrington ST vs Salford City match preview
Accrington ST faces Salford City in a closely contested League Two match, with Accrington ST holding a 36% chance of winning compared to Salford City's 35%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Accrington ST, with an 8% probability. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities, as indicated by the expected goals of 1.36 for Accrington ST and 1.33 for Salford City.
Recent form highlights contrasting performances, with Accrington ST recording one win in their last six matches (L-D-W-D-W-D), while Salford City has been in strong form, winning their last six games (L-W-W-W-W-W). The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 50%, and both teams scoring is projected at 56%, suggesting an engaging encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Accrington ST and Salford City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Accrington ST and Salford City attack and defence ratings
Accrington ST
Salford City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Accrington ST vs Salford City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Accrington ST | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Accrington ST | 36.4% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Salford City | 35.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Accrington ST win | 17.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 63.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Accrington ST vs Salford City stats
Accrington ST and Salford City recent form
| Accrington ST |
LDWDWD |
| Salford City |
LWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Accrington ST and Salford City season so far
Accrington ST record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
Salford City record
- They have won 10 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
Accrington ST vs Salford City head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | Accrington ST | Salford City | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Salford City | Accrington ST | League Two | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.