Salford City
vs
Northampton
1 – 1 Full time
Salford City vs Northampton overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Salford City vs Northampton
| Probability | Salford City | Draw | Northampton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.9% | 25.2% | 11.8% |
| Market | 58.5% | 24.4% | 17.2% |
| Final | 59.6% | 24.6% | 15.8% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +0.2% | -1.3% |
Why Salford City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.61.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Salford City and Northampton expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Salford City and Northampton attack and defence ratings
Salford City
Northampton
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Salford City vs Northampton: result vs prediction
Salford City 1 – 1 Northampton
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Salford City vs Northampton markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 59.6% | 1.68 | +1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Salford City | 59.6% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Northampton | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.3% |
| No | 61.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Salford City win | 36.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 37.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.9% |
| 2-0 | 14.4% | |
| 1-1 | 11.3% |
Salford City vs Northampton stats
Salford City and Northampton recent form
| Salford City |
LWWWWW |
| Northampton |
LLDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Salford City and Northampton going into this match
Salford City record
- They have won 10 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
Northampton record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Salford City vs Northampton head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-07 | Salford City | Northampton | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-08 | Northampton | Salford City | League Two | 0-1 |
| 2022-01-29 | Northampton | Salford City | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-25 | Salford City | Northampton | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2020-01-11 | Salford City | Northampton | League Two | 1-2 |
| 2019-10-19 | Northampton | Salford City | League Two | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Salford City vs Northampton odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.5%, draw 24.4%, away 17.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 3.75 | 5.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 3.95 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 3.75 | 5.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.00 | 5.90 |
| SBO | 1.52 | 3.55 | 4.83 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
23 snapshots recorded, from .