Bristol Rovers
vs
Chesterfield
0 – 2 Full time
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield
| Probability | Bristol Rovers | Draw | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.6% | 23.7% | 44.7% |
| Market | 32.1% | 27.2% | 40.7% |
| Final | 32.0% | 26.3% | 41.7% |
| Edge | -0.1% | -0.9% | +1.0% |
Why Chesterfield
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.61.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bristol Rovers and Chesterfield expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.54
Bristol Rovers and Chesterfield attack and defence ratings
Bristol Rovers
Chesterfield
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: result vs prediction
Bristol Rovers 0 – 2 Chesterfield
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chesterfield | 41.7% | 2.40 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bristol Rovers | 32.0% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Chesterfield | 41.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% |
| No | 30.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chesterfield win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.3% |
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield stats
Bristol Rovers and Chesterfield recent form
| Bristol Rovers |
WLDLLL |
| Chesterfield |
WLWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bristol Rovers and Chesterfield going into this match
Bristol Rovers record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Chesterfield record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Bristol Rovers | Chesterfield | League Two | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-16 | Chesterfield | Bristol Rovers | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2023-07-29 | Bristol Rovers | Chesterfield | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2017-03-18 | Bristol Rovers | Chesterfield | League One | 2-1 |
| 2016-11-26 | Chesterfield | Bristol Rovers | League One | 3-2 |
| 2014-02-01 | Chesterfield | Bristol Rovers | League Two | 3-1 |
| 2013-10-26 | Bristol Rovers | Chesterfield | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2013-03-09 | Chesterfield | Bristol Rovers | League Two | 2-0 |
| 2012-11-10 | Bristol Rovers | Chesterfield | League Two | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.1%, draw 27.2%, away 40.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.87 | 3.30 | 2.34 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.27 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.55 | 2.32 |
| Marathonbet | 2.84 | 3.30 | 2.32 |
| Pinnacle | 3.07 | 3.55 | 2.28 |
| SBO | 2.66 | 3.12 | 2.20 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
23 snapshots recorded, from .