Walsall
vs
Barnet
Garuda Lions Prediction: Barnet
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Barnet is the favourite, not a value bet.
Walsall vs Barnet overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Walsall vs Barnet
| Probability | Walsall | Draw | Barnet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 25.0% | 40.9% |
| Market | 33.1% | 26.5% | 40.4% |
| Final | 33.3% | 26.2% | 40.5% |
| Edge | +0.2% | -0.4% | +0.1% |
Why Barnet
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.6% per unit staked (our 40.5% × 2.38 − 1).
Walsall vs Barnet match preview
Walsall faces Barnet in a League Two clash with both teams showing mixed recent form. Walsall's last six matches include two wins, two draws, and two losses, while Barnet has recorded three wins, two draws, and one loss in the same period. The expected goals for Walsall stand at 1.56, slightly lower than Barnet's 1.72, suggesting a competitive encounter.
According to our model, the most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Barnet, with a probability of 9%. There is a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 66%. The 1X2 probabilities indicate Barnet has a 40% chance of winning, while Walsall has a 33% chance, and a draw is at 26%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Walsall and Barnet expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
Walsall and Barnet attack and defence ratings
Walsall
Barnet
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Walsall vs Barnet markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barnet | 40.5% | 2.47 | +0.1% | 2.38 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 33.3% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Barnet | 40.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.9% |
| No | 34.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barnet win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Walsall vs Barnet stats
Walsall and Barnet recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Walsall and Barnet season so far
Walsall record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
Barnet record
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Walsall vs Barnet head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Walsall | Barnet | League Two | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-16 | Barnet | Walsall | League Two | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Walsall vs Barnet odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.1%, draw 26.5%, away 40.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.81 | 3.45 | 2.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.55 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.79 | 3.45 | 2.28 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87 | 3.51 | 2.34 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
23 snapshots recorded, from .