Shrewsbury
vs
Oldham
2 – 1 Full time
Shrewsbury vs Oldham overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shrewsbury vs Oldham
| Probability | Shrewsbury | Draw | Oldham |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.3% | 27.3% | 28.4% |
| Market | 37.1% | 28.4% | 34.6% |
| Final | 38.9% | 28.1% | 33.0% |
| Edge | +1.8% | -0.3% | -1.5% |
Why Shrewsbury
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.21.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shrewsbury and Oldham expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Shrewsbury and Oldham attack and defence ratings
Shrewsbury
Oldham
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shrewsbury vs Oldham: result vs prediction
Shrewsbury 2 – 1 Oldham
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shrewsbury vs Oldham markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 38.9% | 2.57 | +1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shrewsbury | 38.9% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Oldham | 33.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% |
| No | 43.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shrewsbury win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Shrewsbury vs Oldham stats
Shrewsbury and Oldham recent form
| Shrewsbury |
WLDWWL |
| Oldham |
WWLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shrewsbury and Oldham going into this match
Shrewsbury record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
Oldham record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
Shrewsbury vs Oldham head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Shrewsbury | Oldham | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Oldham | Shrewsbury | League Two | 2-2 |
| 2024-08-03 | Oldham | Shrewsbury | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2018-01-23 | Shrewsbury | Oldham | EFL Trophy | 2-1 |
| 2018-01-01 | Shrewsbury | Oldham | League One | 1-0 |
| 2017-09-16 | Oldham | Shrewsbury | League One | 1-2 |
| 2017-01-21 | Shrewsbury | Oldham | League One | 1-0 |
| 2016-09-03 | Oldham | Shrewsbury | League One | 2-3 |
| 2016-01-26 | Shrewsbury | Oldham | League One | 0-1 |
| 2015-09-01 | Shrewsbury | Oldham | EFL Trophy | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shrewsbury vs Oldham odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.1%, draw 28.4%, away 34.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.51 | 3.18 | 2.68 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.30 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.51 | 3.18 | 2.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58 | 3.28 | 2.84 |
| SBO | 2.39 | 3.02 | 2.49 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
23 snapshots recorded, from .